UDR Valuation

Is UDR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UDR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UDR ($39.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($53.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UDR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UDR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

UDR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue12x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20x
PEG Ratio-0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UDR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UDR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.9x
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities
29x-1.7%US$16.6b
CPT Camden Property Trust
25.6x-29.3%US$11.6b
ESS Essex Property Trust
33.7x-7.9%US$18.3b
EQR Equity Residential
27.3x-8.4%US$25.8b
UDR UDR
29.1x-34.2%US$14.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UDR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the peer average (28.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UDR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Residential REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-4.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-4.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UDR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the Global Residential REITs industry average (25.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UDR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UDR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.1x
Fair PE Ratio23.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UDR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UDR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$39.91
US$40.85
+2.4%
5.9%US$45.00US$36.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$38.62
US$40.75
+5.5%
6.0%US$45.00US$36.00n/a20
May ’25US$37.49
US$39.75
+6.0%
6.3%US$45.00US$35.00n/a20
Apr ’25US$36.64
US$39.19
+7.0%
7.2%US$45.00US$34.00n/a21
Mar ’25US$35.94
US$38.81
+8.0%
7.9%US$45.00US$34.00n/a21
Feb ’25US$36.51
US$39.80
+9.0%
9.0%US$46.00US$34.00n/a20
Jan ’25US$38.29
US$38.84
+1.4%
9.6%US$46.00US$34.00n/a19
Dec ’24US$34.40
US$39.05
+13.5%
12.9%US$49.00US$30.00n/a19
Nov ’24US$31.41
US$41.82
+33.1%
11.9%US$49.00US$30.00n/a19
Oct ’24US$35.67
US$45.03
+26.2%
6.2%US$49.00US$38.00n/a18
Sep ’24US$39.73
US$45.64
+14.9%
4.6%US$49.00US$43.00n/a18
Aug ’24US$40.50
US$45.94
+13.4%
4.9%US$51.00US$43.00n/a18
Jul ’24US$42.96
US$45.42
+5.7%
5.2%US$50.00US$41.00n/a18
Jun ’24US$40.09
US$45.28
+12.9%
5.6%US$50.00US$41.00US$38.6220
May ’24US$41.22
US$46.98
+14.0%
13.1%US$71.00US$41.00US$37.4921
Apr ’24US$41.06
US$47.34
+15.3%
13.1%US$71.00US$38.00US$36.6422
Mar ’24US$41.65
US$47.86
+14.9%
12.2%US$71.00US$43.00US$35.9421
Feb ’24US$42.83
US$45.55
+6.3%
13.7%US$71.00US$39.00US$36.5122
Jan ’24US$38.73
US$46.09
+19.0%
13.3%US$71.00US$41.00US$38.2922
Dec ’23US$40.88
US$46.71
+14.3%
13.8%US$71.00US$41.00US$34.4021
Nov ’23US$39.84
US$50.62
+27.1%
13.6%US$71.00US$41.00US$31.4121
Oct ’23US$41.71
US$53.90
+29.2%
10.0%US$71.00US$46.00US$35.6721
Sep ’23US$45.53
US$54.24
+19.1%
9.2%US$71.00US$48.00US$39.7321
Aug ’23US$47.23
US$53.33
+12.9%
10.1%US$71.00US$47.00US$40.5021
Jul ’23US$46.46
US$54.48
+17.3%
11.2%US$71.00US$41.00US$42.9621
Jun ’23US$47.92
US$58.52
+22.1%
7.5%US$71.00US$51.00US$40.0921

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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