Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.

NYSE:MAA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$17.9b

Mid-America Apartment Communities Valuation

Is MAA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MAA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MAA ($153.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($239.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MAA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MAA?

Key metric: As MAA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MAA. This is calculated by dividing MAA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MAA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio34.6x
EarningsUS$517.46m
Market CapUS$17.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MAA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MAA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average53.7x
ESS Essex Property Trust
33.2x-9.4%US$18.6b
UDR UDR
116.8x13.3%US$15.8b
CPT Camden Property Trust
35.6x-12.5%US$12.2b
EQR Equity Residential
29.3x-8.0%US$27.2b
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities
34.6x0.06%US$17.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MAA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.6x) compared to the peer average (53.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MAA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Residential REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MAA 34.6xIndustry Avg. 25.8xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MAA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.6x) compared to the Global Residential REITs industry average (25.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MAA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MAA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.6x
Fair PE Ratio35.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MAA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MAA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$153.40
US$165.10
+7.6%
6.1%US$187.00US$140.00n/a24
Dec ’25US$164.16
US$163.48
-0.4%
8.0%US$187.00US$124.00n/a23
Nov ’25US$149.17
US$163.39
+9.5%
8.1%US$189.00US$124.00n/a23
Oct ’25US$157.81
US$160.23
+1.5%
10.7%US$189.00US$124.00n/a22
Sep ’25US$162.37
US$154.15
-5.1%
10.8%US$189.00US$124.00n/a20
Aug ’25US$146.41
US$141.90
-3.1%
5.7%US$156.00US$124.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$141.18
US$140.26
-0.7%
5.7%US$156.00US$124.00n/a21
Jun ’25US$133.71
US$139.50
+4.3%
5.2%US$154.00US$124.00n/a21
May ’25US$130.62
US$136.88
+4.8%
5.4%US$148.00US$124.00n/a21
Apr ’25US$128.70
US$137.16
+6.6%
5.7%US$152.00US$124.00n/a22
Mar ’25US$127.63
US$138.20
+8.3%
6.0%US$158.00US$124.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$127.92
US$140.76
+10.0%
8.7%US$181.00US$124.00n/a21
Jan ’25US$134.46
US$138.95
+3.3%
9.6%US$181.00US$116.00n/a20
Dec ’24US$126.79
US$140.21
+10.6%
11.1%US$181.00US$112.00US$164.1619
Nov ’24US$117.58
US$152.08
+29.3%
12.1%US$184.00US$112.00US$149.1719
Oct ’24US$128.65
US$164.03
+27.5%
10.1%US$190.00US$133.00US$157.8118
Sep ’24US$144.27
US$166.79
+15.6%
8.7%US$190.00US$137.00US$162.3717
Aug ’24US$148.01
US$168.44
+13.8%
9.0%US$190.00US$137.00US$146.4117
Jul ’24US$151.86
US$168.50
+11.0%
9.3%US$194.00US$137.00US$141.1817
Jun ’24US$146.92
US$168.82
+14.9%
9.0%US$194.00US$137.00US$133.7119
May ’24US$154.50
US$171.97
+11.3%
8.3%US$194.00US$146.00US$130.6218
Apr ’24US$151.04
US$175.92
+16.5%
9.8%US$205.00US$135.00US$128.7019
Mar ’24US$155.58
US$180.67
+16.1%
7.0%US$205.00US$158.00US$127.6318
Feb ’24US$168.44
US$175.21
+4.0%
7.6%US$203.00US$149.00US$127.9219
Jan ’24US$156.99
US$180.21
+14.8%
9.5%US$225.00US$150.00US$134.4619
Dec ’23US$164.22
US$181.28
+10.4%
9.0%US$225.00US$156.00US$126.7918

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 16:24
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. is covered by 55 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Wesley GolladayBaird
Anthony PowellBarclays
Anthony PowellBarclays