Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Valuation

Is PEB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PEB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PEB ($13.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($14.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PEB is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PEB?

Key metric: As PEB is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PEB. This is calculated by dividing PEB's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PEB's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
SalesUS$1.45b
Market CapUS$1.64b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PEB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PEB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust
1.1x2.0%US$1.6b
XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts
1.5x3.7%US$1.5b
DRH DiamondRock Hospitality
1.7x2.8%US$1.9b
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors
2.7x5.3%US$2.4b
PEB Pebblebrook Hotel Trust
1.1x3.5%US$1.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PEB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PEB's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Hotel and Resort REITs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PEB 1.1xIndustry Avg. 6.0xNo. of Companies4PS00.61.21.82.43+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PEB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the Global Hotel and Resort REITs industry average (6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PEB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PEB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ratio1.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PEB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PEB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$13.55
US$15.35
+13.3%
19.0%US$23.50US$11.00n/a12
Dec ’25US$13.85
US$15.19
+9.7%
19.4%US$23.50US$11.00n/a12
Nov ’25US$11.85
US$15.42
+30.1%
22.0%US$25.50US$12.00n/a12
Oct ’25US$13.04
US$15.58
+19.5%
21.5%US$25.50US$12.00n/a12
Sep ’25US$13.30
US$15.75
+18.4%
20.7%US$25.50US$12.00n/a12
Aug ’25US$13.27
US$16.17
+21.8%
18.8%US$25.50US$13.00n/a12
Jul ’25US$13.18
US$16.31
+23.7%
17.4%US$25.50US$13.50n/a13
Jun ’25US$14.15
US$16.46
+16.3%
18.0%US$26.00US$13.50n/a13
May ’25US$14.34
US$16.67
+16.2%
18.2%US$26.00US$13.50n/a12
Apr ’25US$15.38
US$16.58
+7.8%
18.8%US$26.50US$13.00n/a13
Mar ’25US$16.33
US$17.42
+6.7%
25.0%US$28.00US$13.00n/a13
Feb ’25US$15.43
US$17.19
+11.4%
25.8%US$28.00US$13.00n/a13
Jan ’25US$15.98
US$16.08
+0.6%
31.8%US$28.00US$11.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$13.09
US$15.75
+20.3%
33.1%US$28.00US$11.00US$13.8513
Nov ’24US$11.64
US$16.52
+41.9%
29.7%US$28.00US$12.00US$11.8513
Oct ’24US$13.59
US$17.25
+26.9%
28.3%US$28.00US$11.00US$13.0412
Sep ’24US$14.52
US$17.25
+18.8%
28.3%US$28.00US$11.00US$13.3012
Aug ’24US$15.18
US$17.29
+13.9%
27.2%US$28.00US$12.00US$13.2712
Jul ’24US$13.94
US$17.13
+22.8%
28.0%US$28.00US$12.00US$13.1812
Jun ’24US$13.57
US$17.38
+28.0%
26.6%US$28.00US$13.00US$14.1512
May ’24US$14.28
US$17.42
+22.0%
26.6%US$28.00US$13.00US$14.3412
Apr ’24US$14.04
US$17.44
+24.2%
26.2%US$28.00US$12.00US$15.3813
Mar ’24US$14.39
US$17.69
+22.9%
25.3%US$28.00US$12.00US$16.3313
Feb ’24US$16.75
US$18.04
+7.7%
23.6%US$28.00US$13.00US$15.4314
Jan ’24US$13.39
US$18.71
+39.8%
22.1%US$29.00US$15.00US$15.9814
Dec ’23US$16.61
US$20.80
+25.2%
17.3%US$29.00US$18.00US$13.0914

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 08:59
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is covered by 28 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael BellisarioBaird
Anthony PowellBarclays
John KimBMO Capital Markets Equity Research