DiamondRock Hospitality Company

NYSE:DRH Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.9b

DiamondRock Hospitality Valuation

Is DRH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DRH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DRH ($8.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($15.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DRH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DRH?

Key metric: As DRH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DRH. This is calculated by dividing DRH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DRH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.8x
EarningsUS$60.42m
Market CapUS$1.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DRH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DRH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.3x
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors
13x-32.4%US$2.0b
RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust
32.6x-31.9%US$1.5b
XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts
62.5x11.7%US$1.5b
PK Park Hotels & Resorts
8.9x1.6%US$3.0b
DRH DiamondRock Hospitality
30.8x24.5%US$1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DRH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the peer average (29.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DRH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Hotel and Resort REITs Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DRH 30.8xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies8PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DRH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the Global Hotel and Resort REITs industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DRH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DRH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.8x
Fair PE Ratio41.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DRH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DRH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$8.97
US$10.11
+12.7%
8.8%US$12.00US$9.00n/a11
Nov ’25US$8.60
US$9.82
+14.2%
6.2%US$11.00US$9.00n/a11
Oct ’25US$8.75
US$9.77
+11.7%
6.7%US$11.00US$9.00n/a11
Sep ’25US$8.79
US$9.91
+12.7%
7.1%US$11.00US$9.00n/a11
Aug ’25US$8.09
US$10.00
+23.6%
7.7%US$11.00US$9.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$8.28
US$10.15
+22.5%
8.0%US$11.00US$9.00n/a12
Jun ’25US$8.47
US$10.15
+19.8%
8.0%US$11.00US$9.00n/a12
May ’25US$8.85
US$10.19
+15.1%
7.7%US$11.00US$9.00n/a12
Apr ’25US$9.54
US$10.17
+6.6%
7.6%US$11.00US$9.00n/a12
Mar ’25US$9.54
US$10.08
+5.7%
7.3%US$11.00US$9.00n/a12
Feb ’25US$9.30
US$9.96
+7.1%
7.8%US$11.00US$9.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$9.39
US$9.73
+3.6%
6.3%US$11.00US$9.00n/a11
Dec ’24US$8.48
US$9.68
+14.2%
6.3%US$11.00US$9.00n/a11
Nov ’24US$7.77
US$9.77
+25.8%
9.1%US$11.00US$8.00US$8.6011
Oct ’24US$8.03
US$9.77
+21.7%
9.1%US$11.00US$8.00US$8.7511
Sep ’24US$8.01
US$9.86
+23.1%
9.7%US$11.00US$8.00US$8.7911
Aug ’24US$8.38
US$10.14
+21.0%
9.9%US$11.00US$8.00US$8.0911
Jul ’24US$8.01
US$10.05
+25.4%
10.5%US$11.00US$8.00US$8.2811
Jun ’24US$7.88
US$10.05
+27.5%
10.5%US$11.00US$8.00US$8.4711
May ’24US$8.25
US$10.05
+21.8%
10.5%US$11.00US$8.00US$8.8511
Apr ’24US$8.13
US$10.05
+23.6%
10.5%US$11.00US$8.00US$9.5411
Mar ’24US$8.70
US$10.30
+18.4%
7.3%US$11.00US$9.00US$9.5410
Feb ’24US$9.72
US$10.41
+7.1%
8.4%US$12.00US$9.00US$9.3011
Jan ’24US$8.19
US$10.61
+29.6%
7.2%US$12.00US$9.00US$9.3911
Dec ’23US$9.39
US$10.64
+13.3%
7.6%US$12.00US$9.00US$8.489
Nov ’23US$9.38
US$10.78
+14.9%
8.1%US$12.00US$9.00US$7.7710

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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