Kite Realty Group Trust Valuation

Is KRG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KRG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KRG ($21.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($29.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KRG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KRG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KRG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue9.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.4x
PEG Ratio7.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KRG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KRG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.4x
ADC Agree Realty
35.7x10.9%US$5.7b
PECO Phillips Edison
72x20.2%US$4.5b
SRC Spirit Realty Capital
24.1x-8.7%US$6.0b
BRX Brixmor Property Group
21.6x0.4%US$6.5b
KRG Kite Realty Group Trust
98.7x14.1%US$4.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KRG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (100.3x) compared to the peer average (38.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KRG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a4.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a4.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KRG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (100.3x) compared to the US Retail REITs industry average (29.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KRG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KRG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio100.3x
Fair PE Ratio39.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KRG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (100.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KRG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$21.69
US$25.50
+17.6%
9.2%US$30.00US$22.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$21.19
US$25.50
+20.3%
9.2%US$30.00US$22.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$21.28
US$25.67
+20.6%
9.2%US$30.00US$22.00n/a9
Feb ’25US$21.72
US$25.60
+17.9%
8.8%US$30.00US$22.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$22.86
US$25.50
+11.5%
9.5%US$30.00US$21.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$22.00
US$25.10
+14.1%
9.2%US$28.00US$21.00n/a10
Nov ’24US$21.58
US$25.40
+17.7%
7.7%US$28.00US$22.00n/a10
Oct ’24US$21.42
US$25.50
+19.0%
8.1%US$28.00US$22.00n/a10
Sep ’24US$22.57
US$25.45
+12.8%
7.7%US$28.00US$22.00n/a11
Aug ’24US$23.53
US$24.82
+5.5%
9.5%US$28.00US$20.00n/a11
Jul ’24US$22.34
US$24.91
+11.5%
9.1%US$28.00US$20.00n/a11
Jun ’24US$19.32
US$24.73
+28.0%
9.8%US$28.00US$20.00n/a11
May ’24US$20.54
US$24.80
+20.7%
8.0%US$27.00US$21.00n/a10
Apr ’24US$20.92
US$25.00
+19.5%
8.0%US$27.00US$21.00US$21.199
Mar ’24US$21.68
US$25.00
+15.3%
7.1%US$27.00US$22.00US$21.289
Feb ’24US$22.01
US$25.10
+14.0%
7.0%US$27.00US$22.00US$21.7210
Jan ’24US$21.05
US$25.00
+18.8%
10.0%US$27.00US$19.00US$22.8610
Dec ’23US$22.62
US$24.70
+9.2%
9.8%US$27.00US$19.00US$22.0010
Nov ’23US$20.04
US$24.30
+21.3%
10.4%US$27.00US$19.00US$21.5810
Oct ’23US$17.22
US$25.25
+46.6%
8.6%US$28.00US$21.00US$21.4210
Sep ’23US$19.31
US$24.95
+29.2%
10.2%US$28.00US$20.00US$22.5710
Aug ’23US$19.61
US$24.30
+23.9%
13.4%US$28.00US$18.00US$23.5310
Jul ’23US$17.67
US$25.10
+42.0%
10.5%US$29.00US$20.00US$22.3410
Jun ’23US$20.37
US$26.73
+31.2%
7.7%US$30.00US$24.00US$19.3211
May ’23US$22.30
US$26.45
+18.6%
6.7%US$30.00US$24.00US$20.5411
Apr ’23US$22.96
US$26.36
+14.8%
7.1%US$30.00US$24.00US$20.9211

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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