Extra Space Storage Inc.

NYSE:EXR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$32.4b

Extra Space Storage Valuation

Is EXR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXR ($147) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($233.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXR?

Key metric: As EXR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EXR. This is calculated by dividing EXR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EXR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio38.6x
EarningsUS$806.89m
Market CapUS$32.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.4x
PSA Public Storage
30.7x6.5%US$52.2b
CUBE CubeSmart
24x1.9%US$9.7b
NSA National Storage Affiliates Trust
20.1x-38.7%US$4.9b
VICI VICI Properties
10.8x2.2%US$30.3b
EXR Extra Space Storage
38.6x12.3%US$32.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x) compared to the peer average (21.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialized REITs Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SLVS Silver Star Properties REIT
0.4xn/aUS$25.91m
No more companies available in this PE range
EXR 38.6xIndustry Avg. 24.8xNo. of Companies4PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x) compared to the US Specialized REITs industry average (24.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.6x
Fair PE Ratio41.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EXR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$147.00
US$173.89
+18.3%
6.8%US$198.00US$155.00n/a18
Dec ’25US$170.96
US$174.17
+1.9%
6.8%US$198.00US$155.00n/a18
Nov ’25US$161.13
US$175.33
+8.8%
7.1%US$202.00US$155.00n/a18
Oct ’25US$178.28
US$174.06
-2.4%
8.7%US$204.00US$141.00n/a18
Sep ’25US$177.00
US$169.24
-4.4%
7.9%US$188.00US$141.00n/a17
Aug ’25US$159.86
US$162.53
+1.7%
7.3%US$180.00US$141.00n/a17
Jul ’25US$151.92
US$157.76
+3.8%
7.4%US$180.00US$140.00n/a17
Jun ’25US$144.77
US$156.82
+8.3%
7.0%US$180.00US$140.00n/a17
May ’25US$138.70
US$155.76
+12.3%
7.5%US$180.00US$131.00n/a17
Apr ’25US$146.74
US$155.88
+6.2%
7.3%US$180.00US$131.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$143.36
US$157.59
+9.9%
7.6%US$180.00US$131.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$146.07
US$162.19
+11.0%
7.3%US$187.00US$141.00n/a16
Jan ’25US$160.33
US$155.87
-2.8%
8.8%US$172.00US$117.00n/a15
Dec ’24US$134.37
US$143.47
+6.8%
13.2%US$172.00US$115.00US$170.9615
Nov ’24US$103.33
US$143.47
+38.8%
15.5%US$185.00US$115.00US$161.1315
Oct ’24US$121.58
US$150.71
+24.0%
12.0%US$185.00US$115.00US$178.2814
Sep ’24US$128.83
US$157.54
+22.3%
8.7%US$185.00US$135.00US$177.0013
Aug ’24US$137.56
US$167.50
+21.8%
7.5%US$189.00US$145.00US$159.8612
Jul ’24US$148.85
US$167.69
+12.7%
8.9%US$189.00US$138.00US$151.9213
Jun ’24US$143.36
US$168.46
+17.5%
8.6%US$189.00US$138.00US$144.7713
May ’24US$152.40
US$168.50
+10.6%
8.2%US$185.00US$138.00US$138.7012
Apr ’24US$162.93
US$171.21
+5.1%
9.3%US$197.00US$138.00US$146.7414
Mar ’24US$163.66
US$168.71
+3.1%
10.5%US$210.00US$138.00US$143.3614
Feb ’24US$158.44
US$169.50
+7.0%
12.3%US$210.00US$138.00US$146.0714
Jan ’24US$147.18
US$178.21
+21.1%
15.5%US$246.00US$138.00US$160.3314
Dec ’23US$160.05
US$183.43
+14.6%
15.9%US$246.00US$138.00US$134.3714

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:48
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Extra Space Storage Inc. is covered by 40 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard MilliganBaird
Brendan LynchBarclays
Keegan CarlBerenberg