VICI Properties Valuation

Is VICI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VICI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VICI ($32.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($72.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VICI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VICI?

Key metric: As VICI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VICI. This is calculated by dividing VICI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VICI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12x
EarningsUS$2.81b
Market CapUS$33.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VICI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VICI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19x
GLPI Gaming and Leisure Properties
17.8x4.7%US$14.2b
LAMR Lamar Advertising
25.5x10.1%US$13.1b
EPR EPR Properties
19.1x5.9%US$3.4b
OUT OUTFRONT Media
13.5x-21.5%US$3.1b
VICI VICI Properties
12x2.1%US$34.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VICI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the peer average (19x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VICI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialized REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
VICI 12.0xIndustry Avg. 28.3xNo. of Companies4PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VICI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the US Specialized REITs industry average (28.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VICI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VICI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12x
Fair PE Ratio37.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VICI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VICI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$32.12
US$35.73
+11.2%
7.7%US$43.00US$31.00n/a23
Nov ’25US$31.44
US$35.90
+14.2%
7.5%US$43.00US$31.00n/a23
Oct ’25US$32.77
US$35.86
+9.4%
7.6%US$43.00US$31.00n/a23
Sep ’25US$33.48
US$35.68
+6.6%
7.7%US$43.00US$31.00n/a23
Aug ’25US$31.34
US$35.12
+12.1%
7.7%US$43.00US$31.00n/a23
Jul ’25US$27.90
US$35.08
+25.7%
7.7%US$43.00US$31.00n/a23
Jun ’25US$28.71
US$35.21
+22.6%
7.9%US$43.00US$31.00n/a23
May ’25US$28.90
US$35.60
+23.2%
8.4%US$43.00US$31.00n/a23
Apr ’25US$29.60
US$35.91
+21.3%
8.1%US$43.00US$31.00n/a23
Mar ’25US$29.58
US$36.00
+21.7%
7.9%US$43.00US$32.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$31.05
US$36.13
+16.4%
8.0%US$43.00US$32.00n/a23
Jan ’25US$31.88
US$35.58
+11.6%
8.4%US$43.00US$30.00n/a23
Dec ’24US$30.50
US$35.41
+16.1%
8.2%US$43.00US$30.00n/a22
Nov ’24US$27.87
US$35.55
+27.5%
8.0%US$43.00US$30.00US$31.4422
Oct ’24US$29.10
US$37.36
+28.4%
6.6%US$43.00US$32.00US$32.7721
Sep ’24US$30.99
US$37.43
+20.8%
6.8%US$43.00US$32.00US$33.4820
Aug ’24US$31.64
US$37.48
+18.4%
6.7%US$43.00US$32.00US$31.3420
Jul ’24US$31.43
US$37.83
+20.3%
6.5%US$43.00US$32.00US$27.9020
Jun ’24US$30.94
US$37.63
+21.6%
6.2%US$43.00US$32.00US$28.7120
May ’24US$33.78
US$37.68
+11.5%
6.0%US$43.00US$32.00US$28.9020
Apr ’24US$32.62
US$37.65
+15.4%
6.2%US$43.00US$32.00US$29.6020
Mar ’24US$33.70
US$37.95
+12.6%
7.8%US$46.00US$32.00US$29.5821
Feb ’24US$34.47
US$37.75
+9.5%
7.9%US$46.00US$32.00US$31.0521
Jan ’24US$32.40
US$37.70
+16.4%
7.6%US$46.00US$32.00US$31.8822
Dec ’23US$33.86
US$37.47
+10.6%
8.0%US$46.00US$31.00US$30.5022
Nov ’23US$32.70
US$37.28
+14.0%
8.4%US$46.00US$31.00US$27.8722

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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