EPR Properties Valuation

Is EPR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EPR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EPR ($44.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($115.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EPR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EPR?

Key metric: As EPR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EPR. This is calculated by dividing EPR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EPR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.1x
EarningsUS$175.85m
Market CapUS$3.38b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EPR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EPR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.9x
OUT OUTFRONT Media
13.5x-21.5%US$3.1b
FCPT Four Corners Property Trust
28.4x7.6%US$2.8b
UNIT Uniti Group
13.7x20.2%US$1.4b
SAFE Safehold
12.1x8.6%US$1.5b
EPR EPR Properties
19.1x5.9%US$3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EPR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the peer average (16.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EPR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialized REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
EPR 19.1xIndustry Avg. 28.3xNo. of Companies4PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EPR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the US Specialized REITs industry average (28.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EPR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EPR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.1x
Fair PE Ratio34.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EPR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EPR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$44.28
US$48.91
+10.5%
6.2%US$54.00US$43.00n/a11
Nov ’25US$44.84
US$49.20
+9.7%
6.0%US$54.00US$43.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$48.32
US$48.85
+1.1%
6.0%US$54.00US$43.00n/a10
Sep ’25US$47.47
US$48.35
+1.9%
6.2%US$54.00US$43.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$45.26
US$46.35
+2.4%
7.8%US$51.00US$40.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$41.26
US$45.85
+11.1%
8.2%US$51.00US$40.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$41.04
US$46.05
+12.2%
7.9%US$51.00US$40.00n/a10
May ’25US$41.06
US$46.85
+14.1%
6.4%US$51.00US$42.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$41.82
US$47.10
+12.6%
5.8%US$51.00US$42.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$41.76
US$48.65
+16.5%
6.0%US$51.00US$42.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$44.09
US$48.85
+10.8%
6.1%US$51.00US$42.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$48.45
US$47.95
-1.0%
5.3%US$51.00US$42.00n/a11
Dec ’24US$45.40
US$47.95
+5.6%
5.3%US$51.00US$42.00n/a11
Nov ’24US$43.64
US$47.05
+7.8%
7.4%US$51.00US$40.00US$44.8411
Oct ’24US$41.54
US$48.41
+16.5%
7.1%US$54.00US$40.00US$48.3211
Sep ’24US$44.81
US$49.25
+9.9%
4.7%US$54.00US$45.00US$47.4710
Aug ’24US$45.01
US$49.45
+9.9%
5.1%US$54.00US$44.00US$45.2610
Jul ’24US$46.80
US$49.45
+5.7%
5.1%US$54.00US$44.00US$41.2610
Jun ’24US$41.35
US$44.67
+8.0%
4.6%US$47.00US$40.00US$41.049
May ’24US$41.72
US$43.88
+5.2%
4.3%US$47.00US$40.00US$41.068
Apr ’24US$38.10
US$44.00
+15.5%
5.1%US$47.00US$40.00US$41.828
Mar ’24US$40.64
US$44.38
+9.2%
4.4%US$47.00US$40.00US$41.768
Feb ’24US$42.66
US$44.00
+3.1%
3.9%US$46.00US$40.00US$44.098
Jan ’24US$37.72
US$45.13
+19.6%
7.7%US$52.00US$40.00US$48.458
Dec ’23US$41.53
US$47.38
+14.1%
10.8%US$57.00US$40.00US$45.408
Nov ’23US$39.07
US$47.69
+22.1%
10.7%US$57.00US$40.00US$43.648

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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