AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

NYSE:AVB Stock Report

Market Cap: US$31.6b

AvalonBay Communities Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

AvalonBay Communities's earnings are forecast to decline at 4.7% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 5.1% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.4% in 3 years.

Key information

-4.7%

Earnings growth rate

-5.0%

EPS growth rate

Residential REITs earnings growth0.2%
Revenue growth rate5.1%
Future return on equity7.4%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated17 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

AvalonBay Stock: 6 Reasons Why I'm Skeptical Of The Price

Nov 22

AvalonBay: Balanced Hold Despite Potential Cap Rate Reductions

Sep 24

AvalonBay: Limited Upside And Overvalued

Sep 04

AvalonBay: No Margin Of Safety At The Current Price

Jun 28

AvalonBay: Encouraging Rent Trends Make Shares Attractive

May 02

AvalonBay Communities: The Sunbelt Region Has A New Player In Town

Apr 10

AvalonBay: Hard To See Alpha At This Valuation

Mar 05

AvalonBay Communities: Better Way To Own Real Estate

Jan 12

AvalonBay Communities: Why We Chose This Residential REIT Over Its Peers

Dec 30

4%-Yielding AvalonBay Communities Is An Undervalued Income Generator

Nov 17

AvalonBay And Camden: Which If Any To Buy Today

Oct 31

AvalonBay: Steady Growth Potential At A Reasonable Valuation

Oct 14

AvalonBay Gives You Value, Growth, And Income

Sep 04

AvalonBay Communities: A Stable Dividend Option In Real Estate

Jun 23

AvalonBay Vs. Essex Property: What's The Best REIT To Buy Today?

May 26

AvalonBay: When Strong Balance Sheets Collide With Weak Macro

Feb 06

AvalonBay: Quality Income Stock On Sale

Jan 28

AvalonBay Near 52-Week Low Is An Excellent Opportunity

Dec 20

AvalonBay Communities closes $350M senior note offering

Dec 07

AvalonBay Communities declares $1.59 dividend

Nov 11

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:AVB - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20263,2128314911,79111
12/31/20253,0397794051,68015
12/31/20242,8899584441,6088
9/30/20242,9261,0401,6151,625N/A
6/30/20242,8618401,5971,610N/A
3/31/20242,8269541,5601,577N/A
12/31/20232,7819271,5411,560N/A
9/30/20232,7139261,5331,555N/A
6/30/20232,7231,2491,5081,524N/A
3/31/20232,6741,0201,4591,474N/A
12/31/20222,6091,1351,4081,422N/A
9/30/20222,5541,2281,3601,372N/A
6/30/20222,4328131,2611,275N/A
3/31/20222,3741,1221,2061,217N/A
12/31/20212,3331,0021,1931,203N/A
9/30/20212,2751,0081,1611,169N/A
6/30/20212,2611,0771,1431,159N/A
3/31/20212,2498001,1881,208N/A
12/31/20202,3038261,1911,220N/A
9/30/20202,3486531,2431,269N/A
6/30/20202,3657841,2971,313N/A
3/31/20202,3667821,2861,302N/A
12/31/20192,3277841,3171,322N/A
9/30/20192,3131,0011,3301,335N/A
6/30/20192,3009141,3081,314N/A
3/31/20192,2921,0001,3451,347N/A
12/31/20182,2899721,2981,301N/A
9/30/20182,2668241,2971,303N/A
6/30/20182,260870N/A1,306N/A
3/31/20182,221780N/A1,272N/A
12/31/20172,189874N/A1,256N/A
9/30/20172,104879N/A1,233N/A
6/30/20172,048997N/A1,183N/A
3/31/20172,0461,029N/A1,182N/A
12/31/20162,0521,031N/A1,160N/A
9/30/20162,033945N/A1,123N/A
6/30/20162,013795N/A1,118N/A
3/31/20161,964770N/A1,098N/A
12/31/20151,895740N/A1,075N/A
9/30/20151,815727N/A1,039N/A
6/30/20151,880762N/A969N/A
3/31/20151,821748N/A903N/A
12/31/20141,759644N/A887N/A
9/30/20141,773590N/A896N/A
6/30/20141,604333N/A867N/A
3/31/20141,560176N/A863N/A
12/31/20131,43758N/A724N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AVB's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.7% per year).

Earnings vs Market: AVB's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AVB's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AVB's revenue (5.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AVB's revenue (5.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AVB's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.4%).

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 08:11
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is covered by 55 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jacob KilsteinArgus Research Company
Andrew BabinBaird
Ross SmotrichBarclays