AvalonBay Communities Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

AvalonBay Communities's earnings are forecast to decline at 1.5% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 4.6% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 1.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.7% in 3 years.

Key information

-1.5%

Earnings growth rate

-1.2%

EPS growth rate

Residential REITs earnings growth	-2.3%
Revenue growth rate	4.6%
Future return on equity	7.7%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	14 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:AVB - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	3,159	844	771	1,780	4
12/31/2025	2,991	754	1,182	1,679	12
12/31/2024	2,858	688	302	1,561	10
12/31/2023	2,781	927	1,541	1,560	N/A
9/30/2023	2,713	926	1,533	1,555	N/A
6/30/2023	2,723	1,249	1,508	1,524	N/A
3/31/2023	2,674	1,020	1,459	1,474	N/A
12/31/2022	2,609	1,135	1,408	1,422	N/A
9/30/2022	2,554	1,228	1,360	1,372	N/A
6/30/2022	2,432	813	1,261	1,275	N/A
3/31/2022	2,374	1,122	1,206	1,217	N/A
12/31/2021	2,333	1,002	1,193	1,203	N/A
9/30/2021	2,275	1,008	1,161	1,169	N/A
6/30/2021	2,261	1,077	1,143	1,159	N/A
3/31/2021	2,249	800	1,188	1,208	N/A
12/31/2020	2,303	826	1,191	1,220	N/A
9/30/2020	2,348	653	1,243	1,269	N/A
6/30/2020	2,365	784	1,297	1,313	N/A
3/31/2020	2,366	782	1,286	1,302	N/A
12/31/2019	2,327	784	1,317	1,322	N/A
9/30/2019	2,313	1,001	1,330	1,335	N/A
6/30/2019	2,300	914	1,308	1,314	N/A
3/31/2019	2,292	1,000	1,345	1,347	N/A
12/31/2018	2,289	972	1,298	1,301	N/A
9/30/2018	2,266	824	1,297	1,303	N/A
6/30/2018	2,260	870	1,302	1,306	N/A
3/31/2018	2,221	780	1,264	1,272	N/A
12/31/2017	2,189	874	1,247	1,256	N/A
9/30/2017	2,104	879	N/A	1,233	N/A
6/30/2017	2,048	997	N/A	1,183	N/A
3/31/2017	2,046	1,029	N/A	1,182	N/A
12/31/2016	2,052	1,031	N/A	1,160	N/A
9/30/2016	2,033	945	N/A	1,123	N/A
6/30/2016	2,013	795	N/A	1,118	N/A
3/31/2016	1,964	770	N/A	1,098	N/A
12/31/2015	1,895	740	N/A	1,075	N/A
9/30/2015	1,815	727	N/A	1,039	N/A
6/30/2015	1,880	762	N/A	969	N/A
3/31/2015	1,821	748	N/A	903	N/A
12/31/2014	1,759	644	N/A	887	N/A
9/30/2014	1,773	590	N/A	896	N/A
6/30/2014	1,604	333	N/A	867	N/A
3/31/2014	1,560	176	N/A	863	N/A
12/31/2013	1,437	58	N/A	724	N/A
9/30/2013	1,314	29	N/A	636	N/A
6/30/2013	1,189	127	N/A	586	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AVB's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.5% per year).

Earnings vs Market: AVB's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AVB's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AVB's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AVB's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AVB's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.7%).

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AvalonBay Communities Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Avalonbay Communities, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year 2024

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2023

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter and Full Year of 2023

Consensus forecasts updated

Avalonbay Communities, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Year 2022

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter and Full Year 2022

Recent updates

AvalonBay Communities: The Sunbelt Region Has A New Player In Town

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 25, 2024

Upcoming dividend of US$1.70 per share

AvalonBay: Hard To See Alpha At This Valuation

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

AvalonBay Communities, Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 16, 2024

Fourth quarter dividend of US$1.70 announced

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Avalonbay Communities, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the First Quarter and Full Year 2024

AvalonBay Communities: Better Way To Own Real Estate

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Jan 31, 2024

AvalonBay Communities: Why We Chose This Residential REIT Over Its Peers

Upcoming dividend of US$1.65 per share at 3.5% yield

4%-Yielding AvalonBay Communities Is An Undervalued Income Generator

Avalonbay Communities, Inc. Declares Fourth Quarter 2023 Dividends, Payable on January 16, 2024

AvalonBay And Camden: Which If Any To Buy Today

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2023

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (NYSE:AVB) acquired Avalon West Plano.

AvalonBay: Steady Growth Potential At A Reasonable Valuation

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 25, 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$1.65 per share at 3.6% yield

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend for the Third Quarter of 2023, Payable on October 16, 2023

AvalonBay Gives You Value, Growth, And Income

New minor risk - Insider selling

Now 21% undervalued

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter and Full Year of 2023

BRIDGE Housing Corporation acquired 195-unit Eaves Daly City complex from AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jul 31, 2023

Now 20% undervalued

AvalonBay Communities: A Stable Dividend Option In Real Estate

Upcoming dividend of US$1.65 per share at 3.5% yield

AvalonBay Vs. Essex Property: What's The Best REIT To Buy Today?

Chief Investment Officer recently sold US$704k worth of stock

Chief Investment Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend for the Second Quarter of 2023, Payable on July 17, 2023

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Declares Dividend for the First Quarter of 2023, Payable on April 17, 2023

AvalonBay: When Strong Balance Sheets Collide With Weak Macro

AvalonBay: Quality Income Stock On Sale

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 08, 2023

Upcoming dividend of US$1.59 per share

AvalonBay Near 52-Week Low Is An Excellent Opportunity

AvalonBay Communities closes $350M senior note offering

Consensus forecasts updated

Hagens Berman Downtown Seattle Renters Sue Leasing Companies for Allegedly Illegally Inflating Rents in City’s Densest Neighborhoods

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Announces Board Changes

AvalonBay Communities declares $1.59 dividend

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: FFO per share: US$2.5 (vs US$1.96 in 3Q 2021)

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (NYSE : AVB) acquired Avalon Highland Creek in Charlotte, NC for $76.7 million.

Avalonbay Communities, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Year 2022

Avalonbay Communities, Inc. Announces Board Changes

AvalonBay: Trading At 2015 Levels Despite Apartment Asset Boom

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 03, 2022

AvalonBay: Positioned To Accelerate Dividend Growth

Gelt Inc. acquired Avalon Studio 4121, a 149-unit Class A community in Studio City, California from AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (NYSE:AVB) for $76 million.

Upcoming dividend of US$1.59 per share

Avalonbay Communities, Inc. Declares Dividend for Third Quarter 2022, Payable on October 17, 2022

AvalonBay Communities declares $1.59 dividend

Stagflation Resistant Real Estate On Sale: AvalonBay And Medical Properties

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (NYSE:AVB) acquired Altis Miramar and Altra Miramar Multifamily Apartment Community Located in Miramar, Florida from The Altman Companies Inc., BBX Capital Real Estate Corp. and Rockpoint Group, LLC. for $300 million.

Second quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter and Full Year 2022

Grosvenor Properties acquired Grosvenor Tower from AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (NYSE:AVB) for $95.3 million.