American Homes 4 Rent

NYSE:AMH Stock Report

Market Cap: US$15.4b

American Homes 4 Rent Valuation

Is AMH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMH ($36.52) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($55.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMH?

Key metric: As AMH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AMH. This is calculated by dividing AMH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AMH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio38.5x
EarningsUS$350.68m
Market CapUS$15.37b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average77.6x
SUI Sun Communities
68.1x1.6%US$16.1b
ELS Equity LifeStyle Properties
35.1x5.4%US$13.3b
INVH Invitation Homes
44.8x5.7%US$19.8b
UMH UMH Properties
162.2x53.1%US$1.5b
AMH American Homes 4 Rent
38.5x-7.3%US$15.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.5x) compared to the peer average (77.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Residential REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AMH 38.5xIndustry Avg. 25.8xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.5x) compared to the Global Residential REITs industry average (25.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.5x
Fair PE Ratio32.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AMH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$36.52
US$41.21
+12.8%
4.7%US$44.00US$38.00n/a19
Dec ’25US$38.29
US$41.37
+8.0%
4.7%US$44.00US$38.00n/a19
Nov ’25US$35.02
US$41.63
+18.9%
4.1%US$44.00US$39.00n/a19
Oct ’25US$38.10
US$41.95
+10.1%
5.3%US$48.00US$39.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$39.77
US$41.00
+3.1%
4.1%US$44.00US$38.00n/a18
Aug ’25US$36.84
US$40.00
+8.6%
4.4%US$43.00US$36.00n/a18
Jul ’25US$37.40
US$39.95
+6.8%
4.3%US$42.00US$36.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$36.04
US$39.89
+10.7%
4.5%US$42.00US$36.00n/a19
May ’25US$35.93
US$39.76
+10.7%
4.8%US$43.00US$36.00n/a19
Apr ’25US$36.34
US$39.71
+9.3%
4.9%US$43.00US$36.00n/a19
Mar ’25US$36.79
US$39.11
+6.3%
5.3%US$43.00US$36.00n/a19
Feb ’25US$35.73
US$39.28
+9.9%
5.6%US$44.00US$36.00n/a18
Jan ’25US$35.96
US$38.53
+7.1%
6.2%US$44.00US$35.00n/a17
Dec ’24US$36.98
US$37.71
+2.0%
5.4%US$43.00US$34.00US$38.2917
Nov ’24US$32.92
US$37.59
+14.2%
5.2%US$43.00US$35.00US$35.0217
Oct ’24US$33.69
US$38.35
+13.8%
5.7%US$43.00US$35.00US$38.1017
Sep ’24US$35.98
US$38.76
+7.7%
5.6%US$43.00US$36.00US$39.7717
Aug ’24US$37.28
US$37.66
+1.0%
6.1%US$43.00US$34.50US$36.8416
Jul ’24US$35.45
US$37.03
+4.5%
6.8%US$43.00US$33.00US$37.4016
Jun ’24US$34.73
US$36.58
+5.3%
9.6%US$43.00US$30.00US$36.0418
May ’24US$33.55
US$34.76
+3.6%
7.3%US$39.00US$30.00US$35.9319
Apr ’24US$31.45
US$34.55
+9.9%
7.0%US$38.00US$30.00US$36.3419
Mar ’24US$30.36
US$34.87
+14.8%
6.7%US$38.00US$30.00US$36.7919
Feb ’24US$34.68
US$35.48
+2.3%
8.7%US$42.00US$30.00US$35.7320
Jan ’24US$30.14
US$36.08
+19.7%
7.8%US$42.00US$31.00US$35.9619
Dec ’23US$32.95
US$37.85
+14.9%
11.8%US$53.00US$33.00US$36.9820

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:10
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

American Homes 4 Rent is covered by 41 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew BabinBaird
Anthony PowellBarclays
Richard HightowerBarclays