UMH Properties Valuation

Is UMH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UMH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UMH ($15.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($29.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UMH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UMH?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

UMH key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA21.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does UMH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for UMH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.3x
ELS Equity LifeStyle Properties
7.6x4.2%US$12.0b
BHM Bluerock Homes Trust
1.2xn/aUS$204.2m
AMH American Homes 4 Rent
7.8x5.1%US$14.6b
INVH Invitation Homes
8.4x5.3%US$20.6b
UMH UMH Properties
4.8x3.5%US$1.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: UMH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.8x) compared to the peer average (6.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UMH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Residential REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-2.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-2.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: UMH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.8x) compared to the US Residential REITs industry average (6.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UMH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UMH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.8x
Fair PS Ratio3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: UMH is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UMH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$15.20
US$18.50
+21.7%
9.9%US$21.50US$16.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$15.94
US$18.50
+16.1%
9.9%US$21.50US$16.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$15.86
US$18.60
+17.3%
9.4%US$20.00US$16.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$15.10
US$18.60
+23.2%
9.4%US$20.00US$16.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$15.32
US$18.60
+21.4%
9.4%US$20.00US$16.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$14.55
US$18.60
+27.8%
9.4%US$20.00US$16.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$13.88
US$19.70
+41.9%
7.5%US$22.00US$17.50n/a5
Oct ’24US$14.02
US$19.70
+40.5%
7.5%US$22.00US$17.50n/a5
Sep ’24US$14.95
US$19.75
+32.1%
6.8%US$22.00US$17.50n/a6
Aug ’24US$16.54
US$19.33
+16.9%
8.3%US$22.00US$17.00n/a6
Jul ’24US$15.98
US$19.29
+20.7%
7.7%US$22.00US$17.00n/a7
Jun ’24US$15.34
US$19.29
+25.7%
7.7%US$22.00US$17.00n/a7
May ’24US$15.24
US$19.31
+26.7%
7.9%US$22.00US$16.50n/a8
Apr ’24US$14.79
US$20.00
+35.2%
5.0%US$22.00US$19.00US$15.948
Mar ’24US$15.79
US$20.75
+31.4%
4.7%US$22.00US$19.00US$15.868
Feb ’24US$18.32
US$20.88
+13.9%
4.4%US$22.00US$19.00US$15.108
Jan ’24US$16.10
US$21.44
+33.2%
9.7%US$26.50US$19.00US$15.328
Dec ’23US$17.41
US$21.50
+23.5%
10.3%US$26.50US$19.00US$14.557
Nov ’23US$17.51
US$24.00
+37.1%
13.4%US$28.00US$19.00US$13.887
Oct ’23US$16.15
US$25.00
+54.8%
9.9%US$28.00US$22.00US$14.026
Sep ’23US$17.86
US$25.00
+40.0%
9.9%US$28.00US$22.00US$14.956
Aug ’23US$20.98
US$26.50
+26.3%
8.9%US$30.00US$22.00US$16.548
Jul ’23US$18.25
US$26.50
+45.2%
8.9%US$30.00US$22.00US$15.988
Jun ’23US$19.74
US$26.94
+36.5%
9.8%US$30.00US$22.00US$15.348
May ’23US$23.52
US$28.19
+19.8%
4.3%US$30.00US$27.00US$15.248
Apr ’23US$24.75
US$28.19
+13.9%
4.3%US$30.00US$27.00US$14.798

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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