Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.

NasdaqGS:HST Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.5b

Host Hotels & Resorts Valuation

Is HST undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HST when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HST ($18.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($27.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HST is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HST?

Key metric: As HST is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HST. This is calculated by dividing HST's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HST's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.7x
EarningsUS$721.00m
Market CapUS$12.51b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HST's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HST vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.4x
RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties
19.9x5.6%US$6.8b
APLE Apple Hospitality REIT
18.9x2.1%US$3.8b
PK Park Hotels & Resorts
9.4x1.6%US$3.0b
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors
13.5x-32.4%US$2.0b
HST Host Hotels & Resorts
17.7x3.5%US$12.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the peer average (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HST's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Hotel and Resort REITs Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HST 17.7xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HST is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the Global Hotel and Resort REITs industry average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HST's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HST PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.7x
Fair PE Ratio36.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HST is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HST forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$18.25
US$20.47
+12.2%
9.2%US$24.00US$16.00n/a18
Nov ’25US$17.33
US$20.68
+19.4%
9.4%US$24.00US$16.00n/a19
Oct ’25US$17.55
US$20.60
+17.4%
9.9%US$24.00US$16.00n/a20
Sep ’25US$17.70
US$20.85
+17.8%
9.9%US$24.00US$16.00n/a20
Aug ’25US$16.75
US$21.50
+28.4%
10.2%US$24.00US$17.00n/a18
Jul ’25US$17.63
US$22.57
+28.0%
7.6%US$25.00US$18.00n/a21
Jun ’25US$17.94
US$22.62
+26.1%
7.8%US$25.00US$18.00n/a21
May ’25US$18.84
US$23.00
+22.1%
7.1%US$25.00US$19.00n/a21
Apr ’25US$20.71
US$23.02
+11.2%
7.5%US$25.00US$18.00n/a21
Mar ’25US$20.95
US$22.21
+6.0%
9.5%US$25.00US$17.00n/a21
Feb ’25US$19.42
US$21.62
+11.3%
9.9%US$25.00US$17.00n/a21
Jan ’25US$19.47
US$20.67
+6.1%
10.4%US$24.00US$15.00n/a21
Dec ’24US$17.72
US$20.19
+13.9%
11.2%US$24.00US$15.00n/a21
Nov ’24US$15.60
US$20.33
+30.3%
10.0%US$23.00US$15.00US$17.3321
Oct ’24US$16.07
US$20.37
+26.7%
10.3%US$23.00US$15.00US$17.5519
Sep ’24US$15.82
US$20.33
+28.5%
10.6%US$23.00US$15.00US$17.7018
Aug ’24US$18.39
US$20.50
+11.5%
9.9%US$23.00US$15.50US$16.7518
Jul ’24US$16.83
US$20.29
+20.6%
10.6%US$23.00US$15.50US$17.6317
Jun ’24US$16.75
US$20.50
+22.4%
8.9%US$23.00US$17.00US$17.9417
May ’24US$16.18
US$20.18
+24.7%
9.2%US$23.00US$17.00US$18.8417
Apr ’24US$16.49
US$20.11
+22.0%
9.1%US$23.00US$17.00US$20.7118
Mar ’24US$17.01
US$20.94
+23.1%
9.6%US$25.00US$17.00US$20.9518
Feb ’24US$18.80
US$21.05
+12.0%
9.4%US$25.00US$17.00US$19.4220
Jan ’24US$16.05
US$21.18
+31.9%
9.8%US$25.00US$17.00US$19.4720
Dec ’23US$18.69
US$21.29
+13.9%
10.8%US$25.00US$16.00US$17.7219
Nov ’23US$18.86
US$21.39
+13.4%
10.4%US$25.00US$17.00US$15.6019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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