Stock Analysis

Is Five Point Holdings (NYSE:FPH) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

NYSE:FPH
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Five Point Holdings, LLC (NYSE:FPH) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Five Point Holdings

What Is Five Point Holdings's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Five Point Holdings had US$682.6m in debt in March 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$106.6m in cash leading to net debt of about US$576.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:FPH Debt to Equity History June 23rd 2023

A Look At Five Point Holdings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Five Point Holdings had liabilities of US$45.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$950.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$106.6m and US$80.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$809.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$375.6m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Five Point Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Five Point Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Five Point Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$44m, which is a fall of 80%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Five Point Holdings's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost US$34m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$152m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Five Point Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.