The board of eXp World Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPI) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.05 per share on the 30th of November. Including this payment, the dividend yield on the stock will be 1.4%, which is a modest boost for shareholders' returns.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. eXp World Holdings' stock price has reduced by 43% in the last 3 months, which is not ideal for investors and can explain a sharp increase in the dividend yield.
See our latest analysis for eXp World Holdings
eXp World Holdings Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments
It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 563% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 16%. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 88.5%. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the company could be paying out several times what it earns in the next 12 months, which could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.
eXp World Holdings Doesn't Have A Long Payment History
The dividend has been pretty stable looking back, but the company hasn't been paying one for very long. This makes it tough to judge how it would fare through a full economic cycle. Since 2021, the annual payment back then was $0.16, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $0.20. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 12% over that duration. It is always nice to see strong dividend growth, but with such a short payment history we wouldn't be inclined to rely on it until a longer track record can be developed.
eXp World Holdings' Dividend Might Lack Growth
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. eXp World Holdings has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 42% per annum. Although earnings per share is up nicely eXp World Holdings is paying out 563% of its earnings as dividends, which we feel is borderline unsustainable without extenuating circumstances.
In Summary
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for eXp World Holdings that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:EXPI
eXp World Holdings
Provides cloud-based real estate brokerage services for residential homeowners and homebuyers.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.