Shionogi & Co., Ltd.

OTCPK:SGIO.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.1b

Shionogi Valuation

Is SGIO.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SGIO.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$22.89
Fair Value
46.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: SGIO.F ($12.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($22.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SGIO.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SGIO.F?

Key metric: As SGIO.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SGIO.F. This is calculated by dividing SGIO.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SGIO.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.4x
EarningsJP¥154.57b
Market CapJP¥1.92t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SGIO.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SGIO.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23x
RPRX Royalty Pharma
11.4x2.0%US$15.4b
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals
15.8x12.1%US$7.3b
CORT Corcept Therapeutics
37.2x34.7%US$5.4b
ELAN Elanco Animal Health
27.6x1.6%US$5.7b
SGIO.F Shionogi
12.4x0.3%US$1.9t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SGIO.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the peer average (23.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SGIO.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Pharmaceuticals Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NDOI Endo
0.6xn/aUS$1.90b
KPRX Kiora Pharmaceuticals
1.9x20.7%US$11.18m
CPMD CannaPharmaRX
2.4xn/aUS$4.59m
SEEL.Q Seelos Therapeutics
0.04xn/aUS$176.56k
SGIO.F 12.4xIndustry Avg. 17.8xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SGIO.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the US Pharmaceuticals industry average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SGIO.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SGIO.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SGIO.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SGIO.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$15.93
0%
16.0%US$21.94US$11.38n/a14
Jan ’26US$12.21
US$16.09
+31.8%
14.2%US$19.57US$11.65n/a13
Dec ’25n/a
US$16.09
0%
14.2%US$19.57US$11.65n/a13
Nov ’25n/a
US$16.07
0%
14.0%US$19.71US$11.73n/a13
Oct ’25US$15.17
US$17.07
+12.5%
14.4%US$21.04US$12.52n/a13
Sep ’25n/a
US$16.48
0%
14.8%US$20.29US$12.08n/a13
Aug ’25n/a
US$16.25
0%
15.1%US$19.63US$11.69n/a13
Jul ’25n/a
US$15.70
0%
13.6%US$18.79US$11.40n/a13
Jun ’25n/a
US$16.93
0%
13.9%US$20.82US$11.69n/a13
May ’25n/a
US$16.64
0%
12.8%US$19.40US$11.86n/a13
Apr ’25US$16.53
US$16.99
+2.7%
13.0%US$19.82US$11.89n/a13
Mar ’25US$17.00
US$16.96
-0.2%
14.3%US$20.01US$12.01n/a13
Feb ’25n/a
US$16.48
0%
14.8%US$20.09US$12.00n/a13
Jan ’25US$15.40
US$16.64
+8.0%
15.3%US$20.32US$12.37US$12.2113
Dec ’24US$15.63
US$16.12
+3.1%
15.6%US$20.05US$12.20n/a13
Nov ’24US$15.17
US$15.84
+4.4%
15.8%US$19.76US$11.81n/a13
Oct ’24n/a
US$15.41
0%
14.6%US$19.63US$11.60US$15.1712
Sep ’24US$14.89
US$16.48
+10.7%
18.6%US$24.52US$11.92n/a14
Aug ’24US$14.07
US$16.84
+19.7%
18.7%US$25.07US$11.95n/a14
Jul ’24US$14.01
US$16.53
+18.0%
18.5%US$24.63US$11.74n/a14
Jun ’24US$14.57
US$17.95
+23.2%
19.1%US$25.70US$12.25n/a14
May ’24n/a
US$18.62
0%
18.6%US$26.18US$13.70n/a14
Apr ’24US$15.29
US$19.23
+25.8%
19.7%US$26.72US$12.98US$16.5313
Mar ’24US$14.45
US$18.58
+28.6%
20.5%US$26.19US$12.73US$17.0012
Feb ’24US$16.08
US$19.93
+23.9%
21.8%US$29.13US$13.29n/a12
Jan ’24US$16.70
US$19.79
+18.5%
20.7%US$28.84US$13.16US$15.4012
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
US$13.73
Fair Value
10.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 21:36
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. is covered by 26 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Atsushi SekiBarclays
Koichi MameganoBofA Global Research
Aaron HoCFRA Equity Research