Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.
So, the natural question for SQZ Biotechnologies (NYSE:SQZ) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.
See our latest analysis for SQZ Biotechnologies
Does SQZ Biotechnologies Have A Long Cash Runway?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at March 2021, SQZ Biotechnologies had cash of US$205m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$68m. That means it had a cash runway of about 3.0 years as of March 2021. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Well Is SQZ Biotechnologies Growing?
One thing for shareholders to keep front in mind is that SQZ Biotechnologies increased its cash burn by 217% in the last twelve months. While that's concerning on it's own, the fact that operating revenue was actually down 6.1% over the same period makes us positively tremulous. Considering these two factors together makes us nervous about the direction the company seems to be heading. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
How Hard Would It Be For SQZ Biotechnologies To Raise More Cash For Growth?
SQZ Biotechnologies seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
SQZ Biotechnologies has a market capitalisation of US$349m and burnt through US$68m last year, which is 19% of the company's market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.
How Risky Is SQZ Biotechnologies' Cash Burn Situation?
Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought SQZ Biotechnologies' cash runway was relatively promising. Even though we don't think it has a problem with its cash burn, the analysis we've done in this article does suggest that shareholders should give some careful thought to the potential cost of raising more money in the future. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 2 warning signs for SQZ Biotechnologies (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
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About OTCPK:SQZB
SQZ Biotechnologies
A clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops cell therapies for patients with cancer, autoimmune, infectious diseases, and other serious conditions.
Slight with mediocre balance sheet.