Stock Analysis

Nuvation Bio (NUVB) Is Up 23.3% After First Patient Enrolled in Phase 3 TRUST-IV Trial

  • Nuvation Bio recently announced the enrollment of the first patient in TRUST-IV, its pivotal Phase 3 trial investigating IBTROZI™ (taletrectinib) as an adjuvant treatment for resected ROS1-positive non-small cell lung cancer, following cooperation with the FDA on study design.
  • This clinical milestone comes closely on the heels of IBTROZI’s regulatory approvals for advanced ROS1-positive NSCLC in Japan, China, and the US, highlighting rapid global expansion of the program and increased international recognition of Nuvation Bio's drug development efforts.
  • We’ll examine how this progress in late-stage clinical development and international approvals is shaping Nuvation Bio’s investment story.

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What Is Nuvation Bio's Investment Narrative?

The story with Nuvation Bio right now centers on IBTROZI’s momentum in global regulatory approvals and, crucially, this week’s start of the Phase 3 TRUST-IV trial in a new, earlier-stage lung cancer population. For shareholders, the big picture is belief in the growth potential of IBTROZI, already recognized with approvals in the US, Japan and China, and its ability to expand into new indications. The recent trial launch marks another important catalyst for investor attention, as it extends the addressable market and could support revenue growth over time. While the near-term commercial impact of TRUST-IV may be limited (given its long timeline), it does advance long-term value creation by feeding a robust clinical pipeline. The biggest risks remain Nuvation Bio’s ongoing losses and a young board with high turnover, which may challenge consistent execution as the company scales. The rapid share price rise also raises questions about sustainability, especially given ongoing volatility and that Nuvation is not expected to reach profitability soon.

On the other hand, continued leadership changes could impact the company's future direction, an important detail investors should keep in mind. Nuvation Bio's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued. Find out how large the opportunity might be.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NUVB Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
NUVB Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
Across five fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community, targets range widely from US$0.76 up to almost US$19.47 per share. While this spectrum captures optimism and caution, it reflects how views can shift in reaction to key clinical milestones, such as IBTROZI’s newest trial. Tapping into these diverse opinions helps you weigh the company’s latest catalysts and ongoing risks.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Nuvation Bio - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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