Stock Analysis

Why Bristol Myers (BMY) Is Up 5.3% After Fast Track Nod for Alzheimer’s Therapy – And What’s Next

  • Earlier this week, Bristol Myers Squibb announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted Fast Track Designation to its experimental antibody BMS-986446 for the treatment of early Alzheimer's disease, currently in Phase 2 development.
  • This regulatory milestone reflects growing momentum in Bristol Myers Squibb's neurology pipeline and highlights the potential for innovation in addressing unmet needs in neurodegenerative diseases.
  • We'll now examine how FDA's expedited review pathway for BMS-986446 might reshape the outlook for Bristol Myers Squibb's long-term growth narrative.

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Bristol-Myers Squibb Investment Narrative Recap

For those considering Bristol-Myers Squibb, the core belief is that its strong late-stage pipeline and established drug portfolio can offset looming patent expiries and margin pressures. While the FDA’s Fast Track for BMS-986446 in early Alzheimer’s disease underscores pipeline innovation, its near-term financial impact may be limited relative to patent cliffs like Eliquis and Opdivo, which remain the dominant short-term catalysts and risks.

The recent direct-to-patient discount program for Eliquis and Sotyktu is especially relevant, as it signals BMS’s adaptation to shifting U.S. pricing regulations, an issue central to both investor concerns and the company’s ability to protect revenue from its key assets.

But looking ahead, investors should be mindful that even with a robust pipeline, the lingering challenge of generic competition on Eliquis may still...

Read the full narrative on Bristol-Myers Squibb (it's free!)

Bristol-Myers Squibb is projected to reach $41.3 billion in revenue and $9.2 billion in earnings by 2028. This outlook assumes a 4.7% annual decline in revenue but expects earnings to increase by $4.2 billion from the current $5.0 billion.

Uncover how Bristol-Myers Squibb's forecasts yield a $53.00 fair value, a 16% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

BMY Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
BMY Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Thirteen Simply Wall St Community members set fair values for Bristol-Myers Squibb ranging from US$50 to US$132.55 per share. While many look to pipeline progress for future returns, the risk of margin compression amid U.S. pricing reforms remains top of mind and could weigh on the company’s ability to meet even the higher end of these targets.

Explore 13 other fair value estimates on Bristol-Myers Squibb - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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