Stock Analysis

Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ZVRA) Stock Retreats 27% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

NasdaqGS:ZVRA
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Zevra Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:ZVRA) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 7.0% over that longer period.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Zevra Therapeutics may still be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.8x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 3x and even P/S lower than 0.6x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Zevra Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ZVRA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 2nd 2024

How Has Zevra Therapeutics Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Zevra Therapeutics as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zevra Therapeutics.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Zevra Therapeutics' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 163% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 107% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 81% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 20% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Zevra Therapeutics' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Zevra Therapeutics' shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Zevra Therapeutics maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Pharmaceuticals industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Zevra Therapeutics that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Zevra Therapeutics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.