Stock Analysis

Zai Lab Limited (NASDAQ:ZLAB) Stock Catapults 26% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

NasdaqGM:ZLAB
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Zai Lab Limited (NASDAQ:ZLAB) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.8% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Zai Lab may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 12x and even P/S higher than 68x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Zai Lab

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:ZLAB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 28th 2024

How Zai Lab Has Been Performing

Zai Lab could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Zai Lab will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Zai Lab's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 28% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 272% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 50% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 146% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Zai Lab's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Zai Lab's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Zai Lab maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Zai Lab with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zai Lab might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.