Stock Analysis

Party Time: Brokers Just Made Major Increases To Their Xencor, Inc. (NASDAQ:XNCR) Earnings Forecasts

NasdaqGM:XNCR
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Shareholders in Xencor, Inc. (NASDAQ:XNCR) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a major upgrade to their near-term forecasts. The consensus statutory numbers for both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) increased, with their view clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects.

After the upgrade, the 13 analysts covering Xencor are now predicting revenues of US$131m in 2023. If met, this would reflect a decent 15% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Losses are supposed to balloon 34% to US$2.81 per share. Yet prior to the latest estimates, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$110m and losses of US$3.26 per share in 2023. We can see there's definitely been a change in sentiment in this update, with the analysts administering a sizeable upgrade to this year's revenue estimates, while at the same time reducing their loss estimates.

Check out our latest analysis for Xencor

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGM:XNCR Earnings and Revenue Growth August 8th 2023

Despite these upgrades, the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of US$44.14, implying that their latest estimates don't have a long term impact on what they think the stock is worth.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Xencor's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 33% annualised growth to the end of 2023 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 20% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 15% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Xencor is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The highlight for us was that the consensus reduced its estimated losses this year, perhaps suggesting Xencor is moving incrementally towards profitability. Fortunately, analysts also upgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates sales are expected to perform better than the wider market. The lack of change in the price target is puzzling, but with a serious upgrade to this year's earnings expectations, it might be time to take another look at Xencor.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Xencor analysts - going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.