Stock Analysis

Scholar Rock Holding Corporation's (NASDAQ:SRRK) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

NasdaqGS:SRRK
Source: Shutterstock

There wouldn't be many who think Scholar Rock Holding Corporation's (NASDAQ:SRRK) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Biotechs industry in the United States is similar at about 11.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Scholar Rock Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SRRK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 19th 2023

What Does Scholar Rock Holding's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Scholar Rock Holding certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Scholar Rock Holding.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Scholar Rock Holding's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 76% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 62% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 10.0% each year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 97% each year.

With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Scholar Rock Holding's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Scholar Rock Holding's P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our check of Scholar Rock Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the poor revenue outlook tells us one thing, it's that these current price levels could be unsustainable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Scholar Rock Holding that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.