Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At Spruce Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPRB) Hampers Share Price

NasdaqGS:SPRB
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Spruce Biosciences, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SPRB) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 11.4x and even P/S above 65x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Spruce Biosciences

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SPRB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 29th 2024

What Does Spruce Biosciences' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Spruce Biosciences has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Spruce Biosciences' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Spruce Biosciences would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. In spite of this unbelievable short-term growth, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 20% per year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 209% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Spruce Biosciences' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does Spruce Biosciences' P/S Mean For Investors?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It's clear to see that Spruce Biosciences maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Spruce Biosciences you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.