Stock Analysis

Why Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) Is Up 19.2% After Securing $12.5M Milestone in AI Drug Partnership

  • Rallybio recently announced that Recursion Pharmaceuticals secured a US$12.5 million milestone payment as part of their ongoing collaboration to advance a key drug candidate.
  • This milestone, linked to their AI-driven platform, reflects growing industry confidence in Recursion’s ability to innovate through partnerships and next-generation technology.
  • We will explore how the fresh milestone payment, earned through Recursion’s AI-powered drug discovery platform, impacts the company’s investment outlook.

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Recursion Pharmaceuticals Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Recursion Pharmaceuticals, you need conviction in AI-driven drug discovery and confidence that large-scale pharma partnerships will deliver sustainable growth. The recently secured US$12.5 million milestone payment from Rallybio boosts near-term revenue but does not meaningfully reduce Recursion’s biggest risk: ongoing reliance on milestone and collaboration payments, with most internal programs still in early clinical stages.

Among recent announcements, the open-source release of Boltz-2 stands out as particularly relevant. This AI model enhances Recursion’s competitive position and is central to the company’s growth catalysts, aiming to deliver faster and more cost-effective drug discovery as collaboration revenue remains vital.

In contrast, investors should be aware that significant partnership payments alone may not offset the financial strain if internal pipeline candidates face delays or setbacks...

Read the full narrative on Recursion Pharmaceuticals (it's free!)

Recursion Pharmaceuticals is projected to reach $220.9 million in revenue and $35.5 million in earnings by 2028. Achieving this would require annual revenue growth of 50.7% and an increase in earnings of $684.6 million from current earnings of -$649.1 million.

Uncover how Recursion Pharmaceuticals' forecasts yield a $6.47 fair value, a 17% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

RXRX Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
RXRX Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span US$1.92 to US$10 per share, highlighting wide differences in outlook. Given Recursion’s reliance on external partnerships for near-term revenue, these diverse opinions underscore why it is important to consider multiple sources and viewpoints before making any decisions.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Recursion Pharmaceuticals - why the stock might be worth as much as 81% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqGS:RXRX

Recursion Pharmaceuticals

Operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the decoding biology and chemistry by integrating technological innovations across biology, chemistry, automation, data science, and engineering to industrialize drug discovery in the United States.

Excellent balance sheet with low risk.

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