Stock Analysis

REGENXBIO Inc. (NASDAQ:RGNX) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%

NasdaqGS:RGNX
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The REGENXBIO Inc. (NASDAQ:RGNX) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 13% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, REGENXBIO's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 13.1x and even P/S above 63x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for REGENXBIO

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:RGNX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 25th 2024

How Has REGENXBIO Performed Recently?

REGENXBIO hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on REGENXBIO will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is REGENXBIO's Revenue Growth Trending?

REGENXBIO's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 42% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 45% per year during the coming three years according to the eleven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 160% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why REGENXBIO's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

The southerly movements of REGENXBIO's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of REGENXBIO's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for REGENXBIO that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on REGENXBIO, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether REGENXBIO is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.