Stock Analysis

PTC Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:PTCT) Surges 27% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

NasdaqGS:PTCT
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The PTC Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:PTCT) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 31% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, PTC Therapeutics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.6x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 15.7x and even P/S above 75x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for PTC Therapeutics

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NasdaqGS:PTCT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 3rd 2024

What Does PTC Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for PTC Therapeutics as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on PTC Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is PTC Therapeutics' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as PTC Therapeutics' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 34% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 146% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 8.2% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 268% each year, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that PTC Therapeutics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From PTC Therapeutics' P/S?

Even after such a strong price move, PTC Therapeutics' P/S still trails the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It's clear to see that PTC Therapeutics maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with PTC Therapeutics (at least 1 which is potentially serious), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether PTC Therapeutics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.