Personalis, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSNL) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 37% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The last month tops off a massive increase of 168% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Life Sciences industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.6x, you may consider Personalis as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Check out our latest analysis for Personalis
How Personalis Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Personalis has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Personalis' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Personalis' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Personalis' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 15%. Still, revenue has fallen 1.0% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 20% per year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.9% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Personalis' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Personalis' P/S
The large bounce in Personalis' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Personalis' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Personalis (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to be mindful of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Personalis might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.