Natera (NTRA) Stock Overview
A diagnostics company, engages in the development and commercialization of molecular testing services worldwide. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 4/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
NTRA Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
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Read full narrativeNatera, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$215.09 |
| 52 Week High | US$256.36 |
| 52 Week Low | US$131.81 |
| Beta | 1.57 |
| 1 Month Change | 4.99% |
| 3 Month Change | 9.14% |
| 1 Year Change | 34.35% |
| 3 Year Change | 320.02% |
| 5 Year Change | 146.78% |
| Change since IPO | 845.87% |
Recent News & Updates
Recent updates
NTRA: MRD Leadership And New Genomic Offering Will Support Long-Term Trajectory
Analysts have kept their $300 price target on Natera unchanged, while slightly adjusting assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E after a mix of recent research that includes both modest target cuts and higher targets tied to updated models, guidance and a generally constructive view on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a generally constructive picture of how Wall Street views Natera, with multiple bullish analysts fine tuning their models around updated guidance, P/E assumptions and profitability paths.
NTRA: Oncology Execution And 2026 Catalysts Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for Natera by about $2 to reflect updated models that incorporate slightly higher discount rates, revised revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple, while still indicating constructive views from recent research coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Natera presents a mix of supportive long term views and valuation recalibrations, with several firms updating models after quarterly results and competitive developments in genetic testing.
NTRA: Molecular Residual Disease Leadership Will Drive Bullish Long Term Outlook
Analysts made a modest trim to the blended price target on Natera to about $259, reflecting slightly lower modeled revenue growth and profit margins. This adjustment comes even as several firms recently raised individual targets into the $215 to $300 range after updating their views on the company following Q4 results and new coverage initiations.NTRA: Molecular Residual Disease Leadership And Genomics Launch Will Shape Future Outlook
The analyst fair value estimate for Natera has been adjusted modestly higher from $257.20 to $260.65, reflecting updated models that incorporate recent Street price target revisions and assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Street research around Natera has centered on how the company executes on its current guidance, maintains its position in key testing markets, and justifies premium valuation multiples through future growth and margin delivery.Natera Looks Compelling As Oncology Testing Momentum Keeps Building
Mar 17NTRA: Elevated Oncology And 2026 Catalyst Hopes Will Likely Cap Future Upside
The updated analyst price target for Natera edges higher to a fair value estimate of $208.44 from $194.59, reflecting recent Street research where several firms lifted their targets following Q4 results, improved gross margin commentary, and expectations for a catalyst rich 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Natera points to a mixed backdrop, with a cluster of higher price targets sitting well above the updated fair value estimate of $208.44, but also some signs of restraint as models are refreshed after Q4 results and initial 2026 guidance.NTRA: MRD Leadership And Broad Test Portfolio Will Support Long-Term Trajectory
Narrative Update on Natera Analysts have refreshed their views on Natera with price targets now reaching up to $300. This is supported by expectations for solid sector results, confidence in the company’s position across women's and organ health, and its growing role in the molecular residual disease market.NTRA: Molecular Residual Disease Leadership And FDA Progress Will Shape Future Outlook
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Natera to about $257 from roughly $235, citing higher assumed revenue growth, improved profit margins, and Street research that highlights the company as an established diagnostics player with a strong position in molecular residual disease, along with multiple recent price target increases up to $300. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has been broadly constructive on Natera, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets and emphasizing the company’s role in diagnostics and molecular residual disease.NTRA: Expanding MRD Adoption And New Data Will Support Long-Term Trajectory
Analysts have lifted their Natera price targets into a US$220 to US$300 range, citing recent earnings beats, raised estimates, and what they describe as strong fundamentals and a long growth runway across diagnostics and molecular residual disease testing. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a cluster of higher Natera price targets, with several bullish analysts citing what they view as strong execution in diagnostics and molecular residual disease testing.NTRA: Expanding MRD Adoption And Trials Will Support Long-Term Revenue Trajectory
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Natera to $300 from $285, citing a series of higher Street price targets and ongoing enthusiasm around the company's position in women's and organ health and the molecular residual disease market. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have been resetting their expectations higher, with a series of price target revisions in recent months that cluster in the US$210 to US$300 range.NTRA: Expanding Oncology Diagnostics Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Revenue Trajectory
The analyst fair value estimate for Natera has been raised to $285 from $268, as analysts factor in stronger anticipated revenue growth and sustained momentum in key diagnostics franchises, reflected in a series of higher Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have recently raised their price targets on Natera across the board, citing stronger than expected execution and a robust outlook for revenue growth.NTRA: Elevated Expectations Around Oncology Expansion Will Likely Constrain Future Share Returns
Natera's analyst fair value estimate has been raised sharply from approximately $115 to about $195 per share, reflecting analysts' higher long term revenue growth assumptions and confidence following a series of recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has been predominantly constructive on Natera, with multiple firms lifting price targets into the $200 to $280 range and reiterating positive ratings.NTRA: Recent Clinical Results And Competitive Position Will Influence Future Outlook
Natera's analyst price target has been raised to $234.68 from $222.58. Analysts cite ongoing strong revenue performance, increased growth expectations, and recent research milestones as the primary drivers for the upward revision.NTRA: Recent Clinical Results And Cash Flow Risks Will Shape Future Performance
Natera's analyst price target has increased significantly from $202.50 to $222.58. This reflects analysts' optimism following raised estimates and expectations for continued growth, in light of recent positive clinical trial updates and industry leadership.Clinical Advances and AI Will Drive Expansion Into New Diagnostic Markets
Analysts raised their fair value estimate for Natera to $202.50 from $193.80. They cited momentum from recent clinical developments, positive trial updates, and ongoing strength in the company’s diagnostic and oncology business lines.Molecular Diagnostics And AI Integration Will Unlock New Market Opportunities
Analysts lowered Natera’s price target modestly to $193.80 as continued optimism around its liquid biopsy leadership and growth opportunities was tempered by renewed concerns about elevated valuation and margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note Natera's leadership in liquid biopsy testing and large addressable markets in prenatal, minimal residual disease, and potential cancer screening, supporting long-term double-digit revenue growth.Molecular Diagnostics And AI Integration Will Unlock New Market Opportunities
Analysts raised Natera’s price target slightly to $198.45, citing strong Q2 results, continued leadership in liquid biopsy, robust pipeline momentum, and increasing market opportunities in cancer screening and prenatal testing. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cited Natera's solid Q2 beat, with significant revenue upside and sustained business momentum, leading to raised outlooks for 2025.Optimistic Investors Push Natera, Inc. (NASDAQ:NTRA) Shares Up 25% But Growth Is Lacking
Aug 31
There's Reason For Concern Over Natera, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NTRA) Price
May 18Signatera, Prospera And Renasight Will Transform Diagnostics
Strong revenue growth driven by increased diagnostic volumes and strategic partnerships positively impacts Natera's earnings and future revenue potential.Shareholder Returns
| NTRA | US Biotechs | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 10.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| 1Y | 34.3% | 41.9% | 31.0% |
Return vs Industry: NTRA underperformed the US Biotechs industry which returned 39.2% over the past year.
Return vs Market: NTRA exceeded the US Market which returned 29.8% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| NTRA volatility | |
|---|---|
| NTRA Average Weekly Movement | 6.9% |
| Biotechs Industry Average Movement | 10.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: NTRA has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: NTRA's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 6,138 | Steve Chapman | www.natera.com |
Natera, Inc., a diagnostics company, engages in the development and commercialization of molecular testing services worldwide. It offers Signatera, a personalized ctDNA blood test for MRD assessment, early recurrence monitoring, and evaluation of treatment response in patients previously diagnosed with cancer; Latitude, a blood-based MRD test for colorectal cancer; Altera, a tissue based comprehensive genomic profiling test; and Empower, a hereditary cancer screening test. The company also provides Panorama, a non-invasive prenatal test; Horizon, a carrier screening test; Fetal Focus, a single-gene NIPT, or sgNIPT, that screens for 21 single-gene inherited conditions; and Vistara, a single-gene NIPT, which screens for 25 single-gene conditions.
Natera, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| NTRA fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$29.52b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$208.16m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$2.31b |
Is NTRA overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| NTRA income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$2.31b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$812.93m |
| Gross Profit | US$1.49b |
| Other Expenses | US$1.70b |
| Earnings | -US$208.16m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
May 07, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -1.46 |
| Gross Margin | 64.75% |
| Net Profit Margin | -9.03% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 4.7% |
How did NTRA perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/06 05:09 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/06 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Natera, Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Catherine Ramsey Schulte | Baird |
| Luke Sergott | Barclays |
| Raymond Myers | Benchmark Company |