Stock Analysis

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Nurix Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NRIX) Shares

NasdaqGM:NRIX
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Nurix Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NRIX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 24.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 10.6x and even P/S below 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Nurix Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:NRIX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 7th 2024

How Has Nurix Therapeutics Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Nurix Therapeutics as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Nurix Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Nurix Therapeutics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 172% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been great for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 13% each year during the coming three years according to the eleven analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 139% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Nurix Therapeutics' P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Nurix Therapeutics' P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It comes as a surprise to see Nurix Therapeutics trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Nurix Therapeutics (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Nurix Therapeutics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nurix Therapeutics might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.