Stock Analysis

Inotiv, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NOTV) 57% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

NasdaqCM:NOTV
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The Inotiv, Inc. (NASDAQ:NOTV) share price has softened a substantial 57% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 24% in that time.

After such a large drop in price, Inotiv may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Life Sciences industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.4x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Inotiv

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:NOTV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024

What Does Inotiv's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Inotiv's negative revenue growth of late has neither been better nor worse than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to deteriorate further, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. At the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't fall off a cliff if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Inotiv.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Inotiv's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, in spite of this mediocre revenue growth of late. So while the company has done a great job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline so harshly.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.7% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 6.8% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Inotiv's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Inotiv's P/S?

Shares in Inotiv have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Inotiv's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Inotiv (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Inotiv is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.