There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether NewAmsterdam Pharma (NASDAQ:NAMS) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
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When Might NewAmsterdam Pharma Run Out Of Money?
You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. In June 2024, NewAmsterdam Pharma had US$431m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$189m. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.3 years as of June 2024. Importantly, analysts think that NewAmsterdam Pharma will reach cashflow breakeven in 4 years. Essentially, that means the company will either reduce its cash burn, or else require more cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Well Is NewAmsterdam Pharma Growing?
It was quite stunning to see that NewAmsterdam Pharma increased its cash burn by 9,371% over the last year. While that's concerning on it's own, the fact that operating revenue was actually down 32% over the same period makes us positively tremulous. Considering these two factors together makes us nervous about the direction the company seems to be heading. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
How Hard Would It Be For NewAmsterdam Pharma To Raise More Cash For Growth?
Since NewAmsterdam Pharma can't yet boast improving growth metrics, the market will likely be considering how it can raise more cash if need be. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
Since it has a market capitalisation of US$1.5b, NewAmsterdam Pharma's US$189m in cash burn equates to about 13% of its market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.
So, Should We Worry About NewAmsterdam Pharma's Cash Burn?
Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought NewAmsterdam Pharma's cash runway was relatively promising. Shareholders can take heart from the fact that analysts are forecasting it will reach breakeven. Even though we don't think it has a problem with its cash burn, the analysis we've done in this article does suggest that shareholders should give some careful thought to the potential cost of raising more money in the future. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for NewAmsterdam Pharma that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:NAMS
NewAmsterdam Pharma
A late-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops therapies to enhance patient care in populations with metabolic disease.
Flawless balance sheet low.