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Myriad Genetics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MYGN) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%
Myriad Genetics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MYGN) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 43% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, Myriad Genetics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 12.5x and even P/S above 66x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Myriad Genetics
How Myriad Genetics Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for Myriad Genetics as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Myriad Genetics.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Myriad Genetics' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 11% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 37% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.0% per year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 210% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Myriad Genetics' P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Myriad Genetics' P/S?
Myriad Genetics' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Myriad Genetics' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Myriad Genetics that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:MYGN
Myriad Genetics
A genetic testing and precision medicine company, develops genetic tests in the United States and internationally.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.