Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Mersana Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MRSN) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 33%

NasdaqGS:MRSN
Source: Shutterstock

Mersana Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRSN) shares have had a horrible month, losing 33% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 26% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, Mersana Therapeutics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 13.1x and even P/S above 63x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Mersana Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:MRSN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 25th 2024

How Has Mersana Therapeutics Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Mersana Therapeutics has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Mersana Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Mersana Therapeutics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 39% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 5.1% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 160% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Mersana Therapeutics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Mersana Therapeutics' recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Biotechs companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Mersana Therapeutics' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Mersana Therapeutics that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Mersana Therapeutics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Mersana Therapeutics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.