Stock Analysis

Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS): Evaluating Valuation Following Positive Phase 3 Blood Pressure Trial Results

Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS) has caught Wall Street’s eye after announcing new subgroup results from its pivotal Phase 3 Launch-HTN trial for lorundrostat. The trial showed consistent blood pressure reductions with a favorable safety profile, outcomes that investors closely watch for green lights on potential regulatory approval. With the company outlining plans to meet with the FDA later this year and aiming to file for approval in early 2026, this clinical milestone has put Mineralys squarely on the radar for anyone tracking emerging biotech opportunities. The stock’s momentum has reflected this burst of confidence. Shares have more than doubled over the past year, and recent weeks have seen gains accelerate, helped along by the positive trial update and anticipation of next regulatory steps. While annual revenue and income remain negative, investors seem increasingly willing to look past current losses and toward what lorundrostat could bring if commercial approval follows. So, with the market now factoring in these latest clinical results, is Mineralys Therapeutics trading at a bargain, or is the recent run-up already baking in the promise of future growth?
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Price-to-Book of 9.6x: Is it justified?

Mineralys Therapeutics trades at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 9.6x, putting it in roughly the same range as its immediate peers but well above the typical US biotech sector average.

The price-to-book ratio measures how a company's current share price compares to its net asset value. It is a popular benchmark for asset-heavy, early-stage biotech firms where profitability is not yet achieved. For companies in this space, a high P/B often signals investor optimism about future breakthroughs or commercial opportunities. In contrast, a lower P/B suggests skepticism or less confidence in near-term catalysts.

Given that Mineralys is trading nearly in line with peer average valuations but well above the broader sector, investors appear to be reflecting heightened expectations around its drug pipeline and potential approval timelines. However, this premium could be difficult to justify unless the company's future performance meets or exceeds current hopes.

Result: Fair Value of $81.39 (UNDERVALUED)

See our latest analysis for Mineralys Therapeutics.

However, disappointing regulatory feedback or slower than expected commercial uptake could quickly dampen current optimism around Mineralys Therapeutics’ trajectory.

Find out about the key risks to this Mineralys Therapeutics narrative.

Another View: Discounted Cash Flow Puts the Spotlight on Value

While the market’s focus is on how Mineralys Therapeutics trades versus sector averages, our DCF model presents a different perspective. It suggests the shares are undervalued, which challenges assumptions that may be built into the share price. Could the fundamentals offer more potential than the market currently recognizes?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
MLYS Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
MLYS Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
Stay updated when valuation signals shift by adding Mineralys Therapeutics to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our screener to discover other companies that fit your criteria.

Build Your Own Mineralys Therapeutics Narrative

If you have a different take or want to dive into the numbers yourself, you can build your own narrative in just a few minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Mineralys Therapeutics research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 5 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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