Mesoblast Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Mesoblast is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 61.1% and 46.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 95.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.5% in 3 years.

Key information

61.1%

Earnings growth rate

95.5%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth	27.6%
Revenue growth rate	46.2%
Future return on equity	15.5%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Mesoblast's remestemcel-L reduces mortality by 46% in patients under age 65 with COVID-19 ARDS

Apr 30

Mesoblast issues FQ2 operational and financial update

Jan 29

Mesoblast's rexlemestrocel-l reduces heart attacks, strokes

Jan 11

Mesoblast: The Future Looks Bleak

Dec 24

Mesoblast fails to meet primary endpoint of reduction in recurrent non-fatal heart failure events

Dec 15

Mesoblast cell therapy Fast Track'd for COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome; shares up 14%

Dec 02

Mesoblast EPS beats by $0.22, misses on revenue

Nov 19

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:MESO - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	446	106	87	163	5
6/30/2026	229	-12	-48	37	6
6/30/2025	17	-79	-67	-60	5
6/30/2024	6	-88	-49	-48	N/A
3/31/2024	7	-82	-54	-54	N/A
12/31/2023	7	-73	-59	-59	N/A
9/30/2023	8	-81	-62	-62	N/A
6/30/2023	8	-82	-64	-63	N/A
3/31/2023	8	-81	-61	-61	N/A
12/31/2022	8	-84	-60	-60	N/A
9/30/2022	8	-86	-62	-62	N/A
6/30/2022	10	-91	-66	-66	N/A
3/31/2022	10	-92	-71	-71	N/A
12/31/2021	10	-97	-81	-80	N/A
9/30/2021	10	-97	-92	-91	N/A
6/30/2021	7	-99	-102	-101	N/A
3/31/2021	6	-109	-104	-101	N/A
12/31/2020	16	-98	-99	-97	N/A
9/30/2020	16	-97	-71	-69	N/A
6/30/2020	32	-78	-59	-56	N/A
3/31/2020	33	-66	-57	-56	N/A
12/31/2019	22	-76	-58	-57	N/A
9/30/2019	22	-76	-54	-54	N/A
6/30/2019	17	-90	-58	-58	N/A
3/31/2019	16	-90	-59	-59	N/A
12/31/2018	16	-86	-57	-57	N/A
9/30/2018	28	-48	-74	-74	N/A
6/30/2018	17	-35	-75	-75	N/A
3/31/2018	16	-42	N/A	-78	N/A
12/31/2017	16	-30	N/A	-84	N/A
9/30/2017	3	-64	N/A	-95	N/A
6/30/2017	2	-77	N/A	-95	N/A
3/31/2017	29	-1	N/A	-90	N/A
12/31/2016	32	-8	N/A	-86	N/A
9/30/2016	35	-11	N/A	-81	N/A
6/30/2016	43	-4	N/A	-88	N/A
3/31/2016	20	-83	N/A	-97	N/A
12/31/2015	20	-88	N/A	-98	N/A
9/30/2015	20	-94	N/A	-101	N/A
6/30/2015	20	-96	N/A	-101	N/A
3/31/2015	21	-85	N/A	-87	N/A
12/31/2014	24	-84	N/A	-78	N/A
9/30/2014	26	-75	N/A	-80	N/A
6/30/2014	23	-76	N/A	-75	N/A
3/31/2014	30	-68	N/A	-73	N/A
12/31/2013	35	-58	N/A	-69	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MESO is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: MESO is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: MESO is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MESO's revenue (46.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MESO's revenue (46.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MESO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 11:57
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Mesoblast Limited is covered by 25 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Dennis Hulme	APP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Stuart Roberts	Bell Potter

Mesoblast Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Mesoblast Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 1.511944 million.

Mesoblast Finally Gets Its Approval In GVHD: Where Now?

Mesoblast Limited’s RYONCIL® is the First U.S. FDA-Approves Mesenchymal Stromal Cell (MSC) Therapy

FDA Grants Revascor (Rexlemestrocel-L) Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy (RMAT) Designation in Children with Congenital Heart Disease

Mesoblast Limited Announces Publication in the November 2024 Online Issue of the European Journal of Heart Failure

Mesoblast Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 15, 2024

Mesoblast: Undervalued Due To Remestemcel-L's Substantial Growth Potential

Mesoblast Limited Announces the United States Food and Drug Administration Has Accepted Its Biologics License Application (Bla) Resubmission for Ryoncil®

Mesoblast Limited Announces Patient Enrollment Commences in Pivotal Phase 3 Trial of Rexlemestrocel-L for Chronic Low Back Pain

Mesoblast: Rolling The Dice On Cellular Medicines

Mesoblast Limited Resources Biologics Licence Application (BLA) with United States Food & Drug Administration (FDA) for Approval of Ryoncil in the Treatment of Children with SR-aGVHD

Mesoblast to File Biologics License Application for Ryoncil FDA Approval Next Week

Mesoblast Limited: Back From The Dead

United States Food & Drug Administration Notifies Mesoblast Limited of Available Clinical Data from Phase 3 Trial Appear Sufficient to Support BLA Submission for Remestemcel-L in Children with Steroid-Refractory Acute Graft Versus Host Disease

Mesoblast Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 0.93 million.

Mesoblast Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 97.041224 million.

Mesoblast Limited Announces United States Food & Drug Administration Supports Accelerated Approval Pathway for Rexlemestrocel-L in End-Stage Heart Failure Patients with A Left Ventricular Assist Device

United States Food & Drug Administration Grants Mesoblast Rare Pediatric Disease Designation for Revascor®? (Rexlemestrocel-L) in Children with Congenital Heart Disease

Mesoblast Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 28, 2023

Jane Bell AM Appointed Chair of Mesoblast Audit and Risk Committee

Mesoblast Limited Provides an Update on the Path to Approval for Its Lead-Product Candidate Remestemcel-L in the Treatment of Pediatric and Adult Steroid-Refractory Acute Graft Versus Host Disease

Mesoblast Limited Receives Complete Response from U.S. Food and Drug Administration for Biologics License Application for Steroid-Refractory Acute Graft Versus Host Disease in Children

Mesoblast Limited Appoints Dr. Philip R. Krause, Member of the Board of Directors, to Formal Strategic Advisory Role

Remestemcel-L Clinical and Potency Studies Presented At Premier Meeting of Transplantation Research and Therapy

Mesoblast Limited Announces FDA Grants Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy Designation for Rexlemestrocel-L in Chronic Low Back Pain

Mesoblast Limited Resubmits Biologic License Application to FDA for Remestemcel-L in Children With Steroid-Refractory Acute Graft Versus Host Disease (Sr-aGVHD)

Mesoblast Limited Announces Top-Line Long-Term Survival Results for Remestemcel-L from its Pivotal Phase 3 Trial (GVHD-001) in Children with Steroid-Refractory Acute Graft-Versus-Host Disease

Mesoblast Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 23, 2022

Mesoblast Limited Submits New Information to FDA File in Response to Items in the CRL to the Remestemcel-L BLA for SR-aGVHD

Mesoblast GAAP EPS of -$0.14, revenue of $10.21M

Mesoblast Limited Announces Board Changes

Mesoblast Limited Announces Single Intervention with Rexlemestrocel-L Improves Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction At 12 Months, Preceding Long-Term Reduction in Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events

Mesoblast Limited Provides Litigation Update

Mesoblast Limited Provides Update on Survival Outcomes in Covid-19 ARDS Patients Treated with Remestemcel-L

Mesoblast Limited Announces Class Action Proceeding in the Federal Court of Australia

Mesoblast Limited Announces Executive Changes

Donal O'Dwyer Retires from the Board of Mesoblast Limited

Mesoblast Limited Announces Positive Results from an Interim Analysis of the First Patient Cohort in the Randomized, Controlled Study of Remestemcel-L by Direct Endoscopic Delivery to Areas of Inflammation in Patients with Medically Refractory Ulcerative Colitis or Crohn's Colitis

Mesoblast Limited Appoints Eric Rose as Chief Medical Officer

Mesoblast Limited Announces 36-Month Results of Phase 3 Trial in Chronic Low Back Pain

Mesoblast Provides Update Following Meeting with FDA’s OTAT on Remestemcel-L for Children with Acute Graft Versus Host Disease

Mesoblast Limited Receives Feedback from the US Food & Drug Administration’S Office of Tissues and Advanced Therapies on the Phase 3 Program of Rexlemestrocel-L

Mesoblast Limited announced that it expects to receive $90 million in funding from Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.

Mesoblast Presents Respiratory Function Results of COVID-19 ARDS Trial at Pulmonary Disease Conference

Mesoblast Limited Provides Update on Program for Chronic Low Back Pain Due to Degenerative Disc Disease

Mesoblast Limited Improves Outcomes in Inflammatory Lung Disease with Remestemcel-L Published in Respiratory Research Journal

Mesoblast Limited Announces the 60 Day Results from the Randomized Controlled Trial of remestemcel-L in 222 Ventilator-Dependent COVID-19 Patients with Moderate/Severe Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) Which Had Been Halted After the Third Interim Analysis

Mesoblast's remestemcel-L reduces mortality by 46% in patients under age 65 with COVID-19 ARDS

Mesoblast Limited announced that it expects to receive AUD 138.251367 million in funding

Mesoblast Limited Announces Positive Outcomes of First Children Treated with Remestemcel-L for Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome (MIS-C) and Heart Failure Post-Covid-19 Published in Pediatrics

Mesoblast Limited Announces Results from the Phase 3 Randomized Controlled Trial of Its Allogeneic Mesenchymal Precursor Cell Therapy

Mesoblast issues FQ2 operational and financial update

Mesoblast Limited Presents Heart Failure Phase 3 Trial Results At Investor Healthcare Conference

Mesoblast Limited Announces Additional Results from the Landmark Dream-Hf Randomized Controlled Phase 3 Trial in 537 Treated Patients with Chronic Heart Failure with Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction (HFrEF) Who Received Rexlemestrocel-L (REVASCOR) or Control Sham

Mesoblast's rexlemestrocel-l reduces heart attacks, strokes

Mesoblast: The Future Looks Bleak

Mesoblast Limited Announces Update on Covid-19 ARDS Trial

Mesoblast Provides Topline Results From Phase 3 Trial of Rexlemestrocel-L for Advanced Chronic Heart Failure

Mesoblast fails to meet primary endpoint of reduction in recurrent non-fatal heart failure events

Mesoblast Limited Announces United States Food and Drug Administration Granted Fast Track Designation for Remestemcel-L in the Treatment of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Due to Covid-19 Infection

Mesoblast Limited Announces FDA Grants Fast Track Designation for Remestemcel-L in the Treatment of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Due to COVID-19

Mesoblast cell therapy Fast Track'd for COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome; shares up 14%

Mesoblast Limited announced that it expects to receive $25 million in funding from Novartis AG

Mesoblast Limited Enters into an Exclusive Worldwide License and Collaboration Agreement with Novartis for the Development, Manufacture and Commercialization of Remestemcel-L

Mesoblast EPS beats by $0.22, misses on revenue

Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. Reminds Investors That Class Action Lawsuits Have Been File Against Precigen, Royal Caribbean, Mesoblast and Loop Industries

The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz Announces Class Action Lawsuit Against Mesoblast Limited

Rosen Law Firm Reminds Mesoblast Limited Investors of Important Deadline

Mesoblast Limited Announces Phase 3 Trial in COVID-19 ARDS Surpasses 50% Enrollment

Glancy Prongay & Murray LLP Files Securities Fraud Lawsuit Against Mesoblast Limited

Mesoblast Limited Announces US Food and Drug Administration Issues Complete Response Letter to its Biologics License Application

Mesoblast Limited Announces Updates on RYONCIL

Mesoblast Limited Receives Complete Response Letter from US Food and Drug Administration for Biologics License Application for Steroid-Refractory Acute Graft Versus Host Disease in Children

Mesoblast Limited Auditor Raises 'Going Concern' Doubt

Mesoblast Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 0.33959 million.