Mesoblast Limited

NasdaqGS:MESO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.0b

Mesoblast Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

Mesoblast is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 59.5% and 45.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 72.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 28.7% in 3 years.

Key information

59.5%

Earnings growth rate

72.72%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth24.7%
Revenue growth rate45.1%
Future return on equity28.69%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated30 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Apr 08

Why Mesoblast's Move Into DMD Warrants A Speculative Buy (Upgrade)

Summary Mesoblast (MESO) is upgraded to a speculative Buy as Ryoncil outperforms in pediatric SR-aGVHD and advances rapidly into a registrational DMD trial. Ryoncil’s DMD opportunity is underappreciated, with a modeled $2B peak sales and $1.18B risk-adjusted NPV, enabled by FDA confidence in its safety profile. SR-aGVHD remains a niche but high-margin market, with Ryoncil nearing $100M in sales and strong launch adoption, though adult expansion faces competition. MESO maintains a three-year cash runway, with pipeline developments in chronic low back pain and heart failure offering option value despite commercial constraints. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 15

Mesoblast: Ryoncil Approval Overshadowed By Commercial Hurdles

Summary Mesoblast stock surged after FDA approval of Ryoncil for SR-aGVHD, but market size is limited with NPV of ~$400M vs $2.33B market cap. Ryoncil faces commercialization challenges: second-line therapy position, manufacturing scalability issues, and pricing concerns ($500K-$1M per patient). Rexlemestrocel-L for chronic back pain has $1.2B NPV but enters crowded market; Phase 3 results expected late 2026. Heart failure program missed endpoints; likely needs new Phase 3 trial, making commercial prospects years away. Maintain "sell" rating as valuation prices in perfect execution across high-risk programs, though Ryoncil approval marks an important milestone. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 19

Mesoblast Finally Gets Its Approval In GVHD: Where Now?

Summary Mesoblast Limited's Remestemcel-L has been approved for treating acute graft-versus-host disease, driving recent share price momentum and a potential market cap of $2 billion. The company is preparing for a rapid commercial launch of Remestemcel-L, while also advancing Rexlemestrocel-L for chronic lower back pain and heart failure. Despite the promising approval, MESO faces competition from ruxolitinib and uncertainties in pricing, market penetration, and future approvals, posing risks to the investment thesis. With substantial cash burn and potential capital raises on the horizon, MESO's current valuation may be overhyped, warranting a cautious investment approach. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 30

Mesoblast: Undervalued Due To Remestemcel-L's Substantial Growth Potential

Summary Mesoblast Limited is advancing innovative cellular therapies, with Remestemcel-L for pediatric SR-aGVHD nearing FDA approval and a PDUFA date set for January 2025. Positive Phase 3 results indicate that Remestemcel-L significantly improves response rates and survival in pediatric patients. Additionally, Mesoblast's pipeline includes late-stage therapies for chronic low back pain and heart failure, both of which are showing promising results and are nearing regulatory approval. MESO appears significantly undervalued compared to its potential, with a strong cash position and strategic partnerships to support upcoming product launches. Despite regulatory and market adoption risks, MESO's upside potential justifies a “Strong Buy” rating for investors familiar with these risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jul 22

Mesoblast: Rolling The Dice On Cellular Medicines

Summary Mesoblast is developing two key cellular medicines: rexlemestrocel-L and remestemcel-L, targeting serious diseases. Rexlemestrocel-L is in Phase 3 trials for heart failure and chronic back pain but faces inconsistency in efficacy data. Remestemcel-L's approval for SR-aGVHD has been denied twice, with a third submission currently pending. Despite interesting technology, Mesoblast's high operational and financial risks outweigh potential returns, leading to a "Sell" recommendation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Apr 10

Mesoblast Limited: Back From The Dead

Summary Mesoblast Limited has been on a major run recently as its cell therapy candidate is back on track towards potential approval. The company has some upcoming potential catalysts in the quarters ahead and is advancing its pipeline on several fronts. However, given the company is headquartered overseas, it garners slight coverage from Wall Street and has consistently disappointed longer-term investors over the years. An analysis around Mesoblast follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 31

Mesoblast GAAP EPS of -$0.14, revenue of $10.21M

Mesoblast press release (NASDAQ:MESO): FY GAAP EPS of -$0.14. Revenue of $10.21M (+36.9% Y/Y). BLA resubmission to FDA expected by the end of Q3 CY2022. As of June 30, 2022, cash was $60.4M, with pro-forma $105.5M after raising gross proceeds of $45M via a private placement in August 2022.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:MESO - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/20284531931482215
6/30/20272212363407
6/30/2026128-56-1-487
12/31/202565-94-61-60N/A
9/30/202541-98-56-55N/A
6/30/202517-102-51-50N/A
3/31/202511-103-47-46N/A
12/31/20246-103-43-43N/A
9/30/20246-96-46-45N/A
6/30/20246-88-49-48N/A
3/31/20247-82-54-54N/A
12/31/20237-73-59-59N/A
9/30/20238-81-62-62N/A
6/30/20238-82-64-63N/A
3/31/20238-81-61-61N/A
12/31/20228-84-60-60N/A
9/30/20228-86-62-62N/A
6/30/202210-91-66-66N/A
3/31/202210-92-71-71N/A
12/31/202110-97-81-80N/A
9/30/202110-97-92-91N/A
6/30/20217-99-102-101N/A
3/31/20216-109-104-101N/A
12/31/202016-98-99-97N/A
9/30/202016-97-71-69N/A
6/30/202032-78-59-56N/A
3/31/202033-66-57-56N/A
12/31/201922-76-58-57N/A
9/30/201922-76N/A-54N/A
6/30/201917-90N/A-58N/A
3/31/201916-90N/A-59N/A
12/31/201816-86N/A-57N/A
9/30/201828-48N/A-74N/A
6/30/201817-35N/A-75N/A
3/31/201816-42N/A-78N/A
12/31/201716-30N/A-84N/A
9/30/20173-64N/A-95N/A
6/30/20172-77N/A-95N/A
3/31/201729-1N/A-90N/A
12/31/201632-8N/A-86N/A
9/30/201635-11N/A-81N/A
6/30/201643-4N/A-88N/A
3/31/201620-83N/A-97N/A
12/31/201520-88N/A-98N/A
9/30/201520-94N/A-101N/A
6/30/201520-96N/A-101N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MESO is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: MESO is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: MESO is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MESO's revenue (45.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MESO's revenue (45.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MESO's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (28.7%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 03:20
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mesoblast Limited is covered by 22 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John HesterBell Potter
Stuart RobertsBell Potter
Matthew PriorBofA Global Research