Mesoblast Valuation
Is MESO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Book vs Peers
Price-To-Book vs Industry
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value
What is the Fair Price of MESO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
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Below Fair Value: MESO ($17.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($169.54)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MESO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MESO?
Key metric: As MESO barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is MESO's PB Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PB Ratio | 3.9x |
| Book | US$597.44m |
| Market Cap | US$2.34b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 134.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | -39.6x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Book Ratio vs Peers
How does MESO's PB Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PB | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 4.2x | ||
RCUS Arcus Biosciences | 6.5x | 33.26% | US$2.6b |
RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals | 2.3x | 24.52% | US$2.5b |
BEAM Beam Therapeutics | 3.5x | 7.93% | US$3.3b |
MLYS Mineralys Therapeutics | 4.5x | 49.07% | US$2.6b |
MESO Mesoblast | 3.9x | 55.56% | US$3.5b |
Price-To-Book vs Peers: MESO is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.9x) compared to the peer average (4.2x).
Historical Price to Book Ratio
Historical Price to Book Ratio compares a stock's price to the book value of it's equity over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.
Fetching historical data
Price to Book Ratio vs Industry
How does MESO's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?
Price-To-Book vs Industry: MESO is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (3.9x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (2.6x).
Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MESO's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PB Ratio | 3.9x |
| Fair PB Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MESO's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/01/13 19:12 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/01/13 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Mesoblast Limited is covered by 21 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Hester | Bell Potter |
| Stuart Roberts | Bell Potter |
| Matthew Prior | BofA Global Research |