Mesoblast Valuation

Is MESO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MESO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MESO ($10.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($167.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MESO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MESO?

Key metric: As MESO barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for MESO. This is calculated by dividing MESO's market cap by their current book value.
What is MESO's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio2.5x
BookUS$480.36m
Market CapUS$1.20b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does MESO's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for MESO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.1x
GRCL Gracell Biotechnologies
4.4x-5.5%US$990.8m
RCUS Arcus Biosciences
2.4x3.9%US$1.3b
CDNA CareDx
4.3x95.0%US$1.2b
PRTA Prothena
1.4x38.5%US$756.0m
MESO Mesoblast
2.5x61.5%US$1.8b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: MESO is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (3.1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does MESO's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

62 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRAL GRAIL
0.2x35.7%US$496.96m
AMRN Amarin
0.4x-7.7%US$201.84m
IMAB I-Mab
0.4x1.8%US$77.61m
MGX Metagenomi
0.2x-22.6%US$63.25m
MESO 2.5xIndustry Avg. 1.8xNo. of Companies80PB01.63.24.86.48+
62 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: MESO is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (2.5x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (1.8x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MESO's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MESO PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio2.5x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MESO's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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