The Jaguar Health, Inc. (NASDAQ:JAGX) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 43%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 97% loss during that time.
Following the heavy fall in price, Jaguar Health's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.6x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Jaguar Health
How Has Jaguar Health Performed Recently?
Jaguar Health could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Jaguar Health's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Jaguar Health's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jaguar Health would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 14% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 102% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 39% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 19%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we find it odd that Jaguar Health is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
Jaguar Health's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Jaguar Health's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Jaguar Health (3 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Jaguar Health might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.