This company has been acquired
Global Blood Therapeutics (GBT) Stock Overview
Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and delivery of treatments for underserved patient communities with sickle cell disease (SCD). More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 4/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
GBT Community Fair Values
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Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$68.49 |
| 52 Week High | US$73.02 |
| 52 Week Low | US$21.65 |
| Beta | 0.46 |
| 1 Month Change | 1.02% |
| 3 Month Change | 98.98% |
| 1 Year Change | 169.54% |
| 3 Year Change | 45.26% |
| 5 Year Change | 106.30% |
| Change since IPO | 58.87% |
Recent News & Updates
Global Blood Therapeutics expects to complete Pfizer deal in early October
Global Blood Therapeutics (NASDAQ:GBT) expects to consummate its $5.4B deal with Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) on Oct. 5, the sickle cell disease drugmaker said in a regulatory filing on Friday. Pfizer (PFE) in early Aug. said it had agreed to buy GBT, with an aim to get a foothold in the sickle cell disease market, where it previously failed with its own drug. "As a result of the adoption by GBT stockholders of the Merger Agreement, the Merger is expected to be consummated on October 5, 2022 prior to market open, subject to the satisfaction of the remaining closing conditions," Global Blood Therapeutics (GBT) said in the filing. GBT stock earlier closed marginally higher at $68.10, 0.6% lower than Pfizer's (PFE) $68.50 per share price for the company.Global Blood Therapeutics: Pfizer Acquisition Signals Increasing M/A Deals
Summary After a slow first half, merger and acquisition deals are heating up for the remainder of 2022. In the efforts to boost its presence in rare hematology, Pfizer recently announced it is acquiring Global Blood Therapeutics for $5.4B. Global Blood Therapeutics has several intriguing molecules that could garner blockbuster sales for Pfizer in the coming years. GBT Price is what you pay. Value is what you get. - Warren Buffett When you invest in biotech, it's exciting to see your company getting acquired. After all, the acquisition price is usually at a premium to the market valuation. That being said, there were a good number of stocks that I have covered over the years that got bought out. Don't nail me at the stake here. I'm not bragging. Instead, I want to show you that investing in high-quality fundamental stocks usually rewards you via either a merger and acquisition (i.e., M/A) or an organic share price appreciation in the long run. In this article, I'll feature a fundamental analysis on the recent Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. (GBT) acquisition by Pfizer (PFE). I hope that you'll pick out nuggets in this article to assist you in forecasting other upcoming deals. Figure 1: GBT chart StockCharts About The Company As usual, I'll deliver a brief corporate overview for new investors. If you are familiar with the firm, I suggest that you skip to the subsequent section. I noted in the prior article: Operating out of San Francisco, California, GBT is focused on the development and commercialization of novel medicines to serve the unmet needs of the debilitating blood disorder coined sickle cell disease ("SCD"). Notably, GBT already launched Oxbryta in the U.S. for adults and kids (age 4-11) suffering from SCD. In February 2022, GBT also received Oxbryta's marketing authorization in the European Union (i.e., EU) for kids in the same age group. Figure 2: Therapeutic pipeline GBT Tracking GBT Investment Thesis As you know, it's important to place your stocks into their appropriate investment categories. That way, you can better track their development and progress. On this note, I classified GBT as a "growth biotech" that is still in its aggressive growth phase. As the crown jewel of the pipeline, Oxbryta was launched in the past few years. Being a prudent growth company, GBT continues to expand Oxbryta's label as well as penetrating into additional markets. Of note, the most recent advancement is the label expansion to serve kids. To track GBT's growth story, you want to follow the sales growth to see if the company can continue to ramp up Oxbryta sales. That aside, you want to follow on other pipeline drugs (i.e., inclacumab and GBT601) to ascertain that they are catered for related conditions, i.e., blood disorders. Here, you should look for additional regulatory approvals and more market penetration for those assets. So long as that story remains the same, you can hold GBT indefinitely for multiple-fold gains. The other "exit situation" is when the company can get bought out. As you know, that is the main focus on this article. Mergers & Acquisition On August 08, Pfizer announced that the company would acquire GBT for $5.4B (i.e. at $68.50 per share). The move is to enhance Pfizer's presence in rare hematology. That is to say, Pfizer is poised to strengthen its rare blood diseases portfolio. Accordingly, Pfizer estimated that GBT's portfolio along with other pipeline assets would garner another $3B in annual sales. As Pfizer is a global powerhouse with its vast sales/marketing team, you can project that the firm would fully unlock the value of GBT's drugs. Metric #1: Favorable M/A Environment Now, let us analyze the factors conducive to this acquisition. That way, we can employ similar metrics to size up other potential buyouts. The first criteria that I look at is a favorable market environment. As you can see, the biotech market (and the stock market in general) have been in steep decline for the past two years. Keep in mind that despite the recent biotech resurgence, many bio-equities are still trading at a deep bargain to their intrinsic value. The fact that many potential acquisition targets are trading far below their true worth should entice more acquisitions. If you put yourself in the shoes of the acquirer, would you prefer to pick up the same company at a steep discount? I know I would. Viewing the current M/A environment, you are likely to see more deals going toward yearend as well as next year. As you can see, my sentiment resonates with the Big Four accounting firm (i.e., PwC). Specifically, PwC stated that M/A biotech deals are expected to pick up robustly in 2H2022. According to a PwC research report, All of the stars are aligned for there to be a flurry of deals activity across all areas of the sector despite the slow start to the year so far. Many large pharma players are flush with cash (particularly those that have COVID-19 treatments in their arsenal), biotech valuations have been normalizing after years of a boom market and the 2025 patent cliff is rapidly approaching, all making for a strong deal environment. Figure 3: Notable 2022 biotech deals PwC Metric #2: Premium Acquisition Price Asides from the acquirer (i.e., Pfizer), you have to view the aforesaid deal in the eyes of the buyout target (i.e., GBT). For the Board of Directors to agree to sell the company, they demand a premium price. At $5.4B (i.e., at $68.50 per share), Pfizer bought GBT at over 40% premium to the stock's pre-deal valuation. Figure 4: Premium acquisition price Seeking Alpha As you can imagine, it makes sense for GBT to request for a premium acquisition valuation. After all, the Board and shareholders won't approve the deal if the price is not right. As you recall, Pfizer estimated that the GBT should deliver roughly $3B in annual sales. If you put $3B in sales against the $5.4B in buyout price, you're looking at the projected price/sales ratio of 1.8. At that valuation metric, Pfizer is getting a great deal. Nevertheless, I believe that the +40% premium and the ability of Pfizer to fully unlock the value of Oxbryta/other GBT's assets justifies the acquisition. Metric #3: Portfolio Additive And/Or Synergy While most buyout situations are proposed to deliver pipeline synergy, the actual results tend to be value added (i.e., additive). In other words, creating synergy is extremely difficult. Therefore, a company typically gets additive value. From the figure below, you can appreciate that Pfizer is focused on rare diseases. Of those orphan conditions, Pfizer is dedicated to the innovation and commercialization of drugs to manage SCD. Figure 5: Pfizer's focus on rare diseases Pfizer Given that GBT is a powerhouse innovator of therapeutics for SCD, there is at least value added (if not, synergy) with this union. Of the $27.7B in quarterly revenues that Pfizer procured in rare diseases, that account for the total of 3% of Pfizer's sales. As the company ramps up Oxbryta sales (as well as future launch for GBT601 and inclacumab), I believe that its rare disease portfolio would jump to at least 5% of total sales. Commenting on the M/A, the Chairman and CEO of Pfizer (Albert Bourla) enthused: ... We are excited to welcome GBT colleagues into Pfizer and to work together to transform the lives of patients, as we have long sought to address the needs of this underserved community (i.e., SCD). The deep market knowledge and scientific and clinical capabilities we have built over three decades in rare hematology will enable us to accelerate innovation for the sickle cell disease community and bring these treatments to patients as quickly as possible. Figure 6: Pfizer's rare disease product sales Pfizer Notably, Oxbryta is already generating $195M for Fiscal 2021. By having access to Pfizer's powerful sales/marketing teams, GBT can now promptly send Oxbryta to many more patients afflicted by SCD. Consequently, you can expect Oxbryta revenue to hit around $500M annually in a year or two from now. Aside from Oxbryta's added value to Pfizer, you know that GBT601 (the oral, once-daily next-generation drug) is currently in a Phase 2/3 clinical study. On that front, the available data supports strong future clinical outcomes and thereby approval. Additionally, GBT has the P-selectin inhibitor (i.e., inclacumab) that is being assessed in a Phase 3 study. Since both inclacumab and GBT601 are "orphan drugs," they command a premium reimbursement to reward the lengthy and costly innovation process. Ultimately, that would enhance the profit margin for Pfizer while delivering hopes to patients on a much larger scale. Metric #4: Differentiating Characteristics As you can appreciate, the aforementioned metrics are important for an acquisition. Nevertheless, the most crucial one is the differentiating characteristics of GBT's medicines. In a nutshell, there has to be something unique about the target's medicine to entice an acquisition. The more different the drug, the more attractive it is to the acquirer.Recent updates
Shareholder Returns
| GBT | US Biotechs | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.6% | 6.1% | 0.3% |
| 1Y | 169.5% | 40.6% | 19.9% |
Return vs Industry: GBT exceeded the US Biotechs industry which returned -4.2% over the past year.
Return vs Market: GBT exceeded the US Market which returned 14.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| GBT volatility | |
|---|---|
| GBT Average Weekly Movement | 15.1% |
| Biotechs Industry Average Movement | 10.5% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: GBT's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months.
Volatility Over Time: GBT's weekly volatility (15%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 457 | Ted Love | www.gbt.com |
Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and delivery of treatments for underserved patient communities with sickle cell disease (SCD). The company offers Oxbryta tablets, an oral, once-daily therapy for SCD. It also evaluates the safety and pharmacokinetics of single and multiple doses of Oxbryta in a Phase II a clinical trial of adolescent and pediatric patients with SCD.
Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| GBT fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$4.62b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$322.46m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$234.86m |
Is GBT overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| GBT income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$234.86m |
| Cost of Revenue | US$4.45m |
| Gross Profit | US$230.41m |
| Other Expenses | US$552.87m |
| Earnings | -US$322.46m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2022
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -4.78 |
| Gross Margin | 98.10% |
| Net Profit Margin | -137.30% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 491.7% |
How did GBT perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2022/10/05 08:20 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2022/10/04 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2022/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2021/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Global Blood Therapeutics, Inc. is covered by 24 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jason Matthew Gerberry | BofA Global Research |
| Debjit Chattopadhyay | Brean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery) |
| John Newman | Canaccord Genuity |