Stock Analysis

Will Gil Blum’s Upgrade Shift Amicus Therapeutics’ (FOLD) Growth Narrative and Risk Profile?

  • In early October 2025, Needham analyst Gil Blum upgraded Amicus Therapeutics, highlighting an improved outlook for the company’s future prospects.
  • This development could impact investor confidence, as analyst recommendations are often closely monitored within the biotechnology sector.
  • We'll explore how this analyst upgrade and the improved outlook may influence Amicus Therapeutics' growth narrative and risk profile.

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Amicus Therapeutics Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Amicus Therapeutics, you have to believe in the company’s ability to capture more of the large, underserved market for rare diseases like Fabry and Pompe, despite intense competition and a heavy reliance on a few products. The recent upgrade by Needham’s Gil Blum may boost short-term investor sentiment, but it does not fundamentally change the key catalyst: sustained revenue growth from new patient uptake and geographic expansion. The core risk of concentrated revenue and competition remains unchanged.

Of the latest company developments, the September 2025 presentation of new four-year data showing improved muscle strength for Pompe disease patients treated with Pombiliti and Opfolda is closely tied to this upgrade. These results support the narrative of ongoing adoption and could reinforce optimism sparked by the analyst’s improved outlook, making product performance and competitive positioning all the more vital for near-term momentum.

Yet, despite the positive tone, investors should not overlook the ongoing risk posed by substantial net losses and potential funding needs if cash flows do not…

Read the full narrative on Amicus Therapeutics (it's free!)

Amicus Therapeutics' outlook anticipates $995.5 million in revenue and $234.9 million in earnings by 2028. This reflects a forecasted annual revenue growth rate of 20.3% and an earnings increase of $273 million from current earnings of -$38.1 million.

Uncover how Amicus Therapeutics' forecasts yield a $15.36 fair value, a 87% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

FOLD Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
FOLD Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Four individual valuations from the Simply Wall St Community place Amicus Therapeutics’ fair value between US$13.96 and US$58.56 a share. While many see room for upside, ongoing net losses and future funding requirements remain front of mind for shareholders considering the company’s long term financial health.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Amicus Therapeutics - why the stock might be worth over 7x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Amicus Therapeutics Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Amicus Therapeutics research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Amicus Therapeutics research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Amicus Therapeutics' overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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