Stock Analysis

Journey Medical Corporation (NASDAQ:DERM) Shares Fly 31% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

NasdaqCM:DERM
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Journey Medical Corporation (NASDAQ:DERM) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. The last month tops off a massive increase of 123% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, Journey Medical may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x and even P/S higher than 11x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Journey Medical

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:DERM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 3rd 2024

What Does Journey Medical's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Journey Medical certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Journey Medical's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Journey Medical's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 26% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 58% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.8% each year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 17% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Journey Medical's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does Journey Medical's P/S Mean For Investors?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Journey Medical's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Journey Medical's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Journey Medical (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.