Cytokinetics, Incorporated

NasdaqGS:CYTK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.8b

Cytokinetics Valuation

Is CYTK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CYTK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CYTK ($49.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($49.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CYTK is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CYTK?

Key metric: As CYTK barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for CYTK. This is calculated by dividing CYTK's market cap by their current book value.
What is CYTK's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio-416.5x
Book-US$13.91m
Market CapUS$5.79b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does CYTK's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for CYTK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.2x
CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics
2.1x34.5%US$4.1b
RVMD Revolution Medicines
6.1x7.2%US$9.5b
VRDN Viridian Therapeutics
3.1x32.1%US$1.6b
MRNA Moderna
1.3x17.9%US$15.8b
CYTK Cytokinetics
n/a36.7%US$5.8b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: CYTK has negative equity and a Price-To-Book Ratio (-416.5x) compared to the peer average (3.2x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does CYTK's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

61 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRAL GRAIL
0.2x35.7%US$554.58m
IMAB I-Mab
0.4x1.8%US$76.59m
ACET Adicet Bio
0.4x6.7%US$74.16m
MGX Metagenomi
0.3x-23.2%US$70.73m
CYTK is unprofitableIndustry Avg. 1.9xNo. of Companies81PB01.63.24.86.48+
61 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: CYTK has negative equity and a Price-To-Book Ratio (-416.5x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (1.9x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CYTK's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CYTK PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio-416.5x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CYTK's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CYTK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$49.10
US$81.41
+65.8%
20.3%US$120.00US$60.00n/a17
Nov ’25US$51.82
US$83.06
+60.3%
21.1%US$120.00US$60.00n/a17
Oct ’25US$52.60
US$81.29
+54.6%
18.5%US$107.00US$60.00n/a17
Sep ’25US$57.08
US$80.94
+41.8%
19.0%US$107.00US$60.00n/a17
Aug ’25US$57.91
US$82.65
+42.7%
16.8%US$107.00US$60.00n/a17
Jul ’25US$54.70
US$82.65
+51.1%
16.8%US$107.00US$60.00n/a17
Jun ’25US$48.51
US$85.12
+75.5%
18.8%US$122.00US$60.00n/a17
May ’25US$63.37
US$90.28
+42.5%
20.6%US$122.00US$42.40n/a19
Apr ’25US$73.02
US$92.07
+26.1%
19.3%US$122.00US$42.40n/a19
Mar ’25US$73.98
US$92.13
+24.5%
19.2%US$122.00US$42.40n/a19
Feb ’25US$81.25
US$92.18
+13.5%
19.2%US$122.00US$42.40n/a19
Jan ’25US$83.49
US$82.97
-0.6%
24.1%US$110.00US$42.40n/a19
Dec ’24US$33.57
US$59.97
+78.6%
16.1%US$80.00US$41.00n/a20
Nov ’24US$35.10
US$61.29
+74.6%
14.7%US$80.00US$41.00US$51.8217
Oct ’24US$29.46
US$60.81
+106.4%
15.3%US$80.00US$41.00US$52.6016
Sep ’24US$36.00
US$60.81
+68.9%
15.3%US$80.00US$41.00US$57.0816
Aug ’24US$32.50
US$61.00
+87.7%
15.7%US$80.00US$41.00US$57.9115
Jul ’24US$32.62
US$61.00
+87.0%
15.7%US$80.00US$41.00US$54.7015
Jun ’24US$37.96
US$60.38
+59.0%
15.9%US$80.00US$41.00US$48.5116
May ’24US$37.77
US$60.06
+59.0%
16.3%US$80.00US$42.00US$63.3716
Apr ’24US$35.19
US$60.44
+71.7%
16.4%US$80.00US$42.00US$73.0216
Mar ’24US$43.11
US$61.75
+43.2%
13.6%US$80.00US$49.00US$73.9816
Feb ’24US$42.83
US$62.67
+46.3%
12.7%US$80.00US$55.00US$81.2515
Jan ’24US$45.82
US$62.07
+35.5%
14.0%US$80.00US$47.00US$83.4915
Dec ’23US$40.86
US$68.07
+66.6%
13.0%US$82.00US$55.00US$33.5714
Nov ’23US$42.99
US$68.29
+58.8%
12.6%US$82.00US$58.00US$35.1014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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