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CTI BioPharma Valuation

Is CTIC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CTIC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CTIC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CTIC's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CTIC?

Key metric: As CTIC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CTIC. This is calculated by dividing CTIC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CTIC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio15.8x
SalesUS$75.77m
Market CapUS$1.20b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CTIC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CTIC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.3x
PNT POINT Biopharma Global
5.5x22.6%US$1.3b
ARQT Arcutis Biotherapeutics
9.9x34.8%US$1.3b
ARCT Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings
3x35.2%US$458.6m
TGTX TG Therapeutics
19x34.7%US$4.9b
CTIC CTI BioPharma
15.8x34.0%US$1.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CTIC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.8x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CTIC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

124 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BIIB Biogen
2.4x1.3%US$22.98b
MRNA Moderna
3.3x6.7%US$16.18b
INCY Incyte
3.6x9.0%US$14.41b
ALKS Alkermes
3.2x-0.7%US$4.73b
CTIC 15.8xIndustry Avg. 10.0xNo. of Companies124PS01632486480+
124 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CTIC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.8x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (11.4x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CTIC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CTIC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio15.8x
Fair PS Ratio14x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CTIC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (14x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CTIC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Nov ’25n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Oct ’25n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Sep ’25n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Aug ’25n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Jul ’25n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Jun ’25n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
May ’25n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Jan ’25n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Dec ’24n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Oct ’24n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Sep ’24n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Aug ’24n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Jul ’24n/a
US$9.86
0%
15.9%US$13.00US$9.00n/a5
Jun ’24US$9.05
US$10.49
+15.9%
21.8%US$15.00US$9.00n/a7
May ’24US$4.89
US$11.26
+130.3%
25.3%US$15.00US$8.00n/a8
Apr ’24US$4.20
US$11.23
+167.5%
23.2%US$15.00US$8.10n/a9
Mar ’24US$5.44
US$11.41
+109.8%
21.4%US$15.00US$8.70n/a9
Feb ’24US$5.60
US$11.41
+103.8%
21.4%US$15.00US$8.70n/a9
Jan ’24US$6.01
US$11.08
+84.3%
19.1%US$15.00US$8.70n/a9
Dec ’23US$5.98
US$11.08
+85.2%
19.1%US$15.00US$8.70n/a9
Nov ’23US$5.21
US$11.08
+112.6%
19.1%US$15.00US$8.70n/a9

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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