Cogent Biosciences, Inc.

NasdaqGS:COGT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.6b

Cogent Biosciences Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Cogent Biosciences is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 65% and 54.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 66.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -37.7% in 3 years.

Key information

65.0%

Earnings growth rate

66.07%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth25.1%
Revenue growth rate54.1%
Future return on equity-37.68%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated17 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article • Jun 18

Cogent Biosciences (COGT) Stock Can APEX Trial Progress Justify A 10.6x P B Ratio

Cogent Biosciences (COGT) stock is in focus after the company released updated APEX trial data for bezuclastinib in advanced systemic mastocytosis, along with preclinical results for JAK2 V617F inhibitor CGT1145 at the 2026 EHA Congress. See our latest analysis for Cogent Biosciences. The latest APEX and CGT1145 data arrive as Cogent Biosciences trades at US$33.67, with recent momentum reflected in a 7.3% 7 day share price return. The 1 year total shareholder return of about 4.7x highlights...
Seeking Alpha • Jun 14

Cogent Biosciences: A Pre-Commercial Biotech With Commercial-Stage Leverage

Summary Cogent Biosciences is positioned to build a niche KIT-mutant franchise, leveraging bezuclastinib across three pivotal indications with strong clinical data. COGT holds $866.4 million in cash, supporting operations through 2028 and enabling launches in systemic mastocytosis and GIST, mitigating near-term financing risk. Bezuclastinib has demonstrated robust efficacy in nonadvanced and advanced systemic mastocytosis and second-line GIST, with three regulatory filings and positive pivotal trial results. Despite stretched valuation metrics, I see COGT as an attractive opportunity for investors willing to accept regulatory and launch risk, given its maturing clinical and commercial profile. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 18

Cogent Biosciences: Buy The Pullback For Bezuclastinib's 2025 SM And GIST Data

Summary Bezuclastinib is COGT’s main value driver, currently undergoing 3 late-stage trials for SM and GIST. COGT’s SUMMIT Part 2 for nonAdvSM will give us decisive data in July 2025, which I consider its main catalyst this year. Bezuclastinib could target an aggregate TAM of up to $2.5 billion across NonAdvSM, AdvSM, and GIST, which dwarves its current market cap. The company also has a solid cash runway of about 1.9 years and should be sufficient until we see its main catalyst play out. This is why I think the recent 34% decline is actually a good speculative “Buy” opportunity for investors betting on Bezuclastinib’s 2025 upcoming data. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 23

Cogent Biosciences: Inflection Year Directly Ahead

Summary Today, we revisit clinical stage biotech firm Cogent Biosciences for the first time since 2022. The company is heading into the potential inflection year in 2025 and top line results from three late-stage trials should be out during the year. Cogent Biosciences is also well funded and enjoys solid support from the analyst community. An updated analysis follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 14

Cogent Biosciences: Stock Soars On Cash Injection Ahead Of Major Data Catalyst

Summary Cogent Biosciences, Inc. has entered into a securities purchase agreement for a private investment in public equity financing, expected to raise approximately $225 million. The financing was led by Commodore Capital and a large investment management firm, with participation from several notable biotech investment firms. The funds will be used for research and development, activities related to bezuclastinib, the company's lead candidate. The hope is that bezuclastinib can secure approval to treat advanced and non-advanced systemic mastocytosis - a >$2bn potential market. There is a major data catalyst upcoming, when the company announces Phase 2 data from its SUMMIT study in non-advSM. Blueprint medicines Ayvakit is already approved in this indication, and bezuclastinib must show superiority to this drug. If it can, the share price may soar again. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 13

Cogent Biosciences: What's Ahead

Summary Today, we put Cogent Biosciences, Inc. in the spotlight for the first time in nearly two years. Cogent stock has roughly tripled since positive trial data came out in June, and the company has addressed its current funding needs. More upside ahead? An investment analysis follows in the paragraphs below. A story only matters, I suspect, to the extent that the people in the story change.”― Neil Gaiman We circle back on Cogent Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:COGT) today for the first time since our last piece on this company in October of 2020. At the time, the company was called Unum Therapeutics. Through a merger with privately held Kiq Bio soon thereafter, the company was reborn as Cogent Biosciences. So, is this newly born biotech concern a butterfly or a moth in relation to prospects for investors? An analysis follows below. Seeking Alpha Company Overview: Cogent Biosciences Inc. is based just outside of Boston in Cambridge, MA. This clinical stage biotech concern is focused on developing precision therapies for genetically defined diseases. Its stock currently trades around $17.00 a share and sports an approximate market capitalization of $1.1 billion. The company lead drug candidate is bezuclastinib. The compound is designed to target exon 17 mutations found within the KIT receptor tyrosine kinase, including KIT D816V. When this mutation remains in a perpetual "on" state, it causes mast cells to accumulate in various internal organs including the bone marrow. This leads to an Orphan Disease called Systemic Mastocytosis. Other Exon 17 mutations have been found in other afflictions such as advanced Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors, or GIST. Bezuclastinib is a highly selective and potent KIT inhibitor that eventually could lead to effective treatments for these indications. June Company Presentation Bezuclastinib is currently being evaluated in several studies. The company is currently enrolling patients in an ongoing two part Phase 2 trial called "Apex." This study is evaluating bezuclastinib to treat patients with Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis (AdvSM). This is a rare, very aggressive form of Systemic Mastocytosis. The average lifespan of someone with this rare affliction is 3.5 years. The company posted encouraging interim results from this study on June 10th, which helped ignite a big rally in the stock since then. June Company Presentation Cogent is also currently enrolling patients in a study called Summit. This is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase 2 clinical trial of bezuclastinib in patients with Nonadvanced Systemic Mastocytosis or NonAdvSM. This is a life-long illness with chronic symptoms that occurs in approximately 90% of the people that have Systemic Mastocytosis. June Company Presentation Finally, the company is evaluating bezuclastinib as a potential treatment for GIST. These tumors are categorized by uncontrolled cell growth in the tissues of the gastrointestinal tract. Approximately 80% of GIST patients’ tumors are the result of primary KIT mutations. Bezuclastinib has studied in an 18 person Phase 1/2 trial both as monotherapy as well as part of a combination therapy with sunitinib. Median progression free survival [PFS] reached 11 months with these patients, most of these which were heavily treated previously. Currently approved therapies currently inhibit a subset of these mutations, but most patients develop resistance due to additional secondary KIT mutations, including mutations in Exon 17. Bezuclastinib is designed to inhibit the primary mutation while sunitinib looks to inhibit additional mutations.
Seeking Alpha • Jun 26

Cogent Biosciences: APEX Data Was Interesting, But We Need More

Cogent has a single molecule in various trials. Recently, they produced some positive early data. We should be able to get a better grasp on the company in about a year.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:COGT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028730150-4514410
12/31/2027345-134-250-17811
12/31/20269-392-308-35312
3/31/2026N/A-354-286-285N/A
12/31/2025N/A-329-266-264N/A
9/30/2025N/A-294-247-246N/A
6/30/2025N/A-284-235-234N/A
3/31/2025N/A-269-223-222N/A
12/31/2024N/A-256-208-208N/A
9/30/2024N/A-242-192-191N/A
6/30/2024N/A-227-178-177N/A
3/31/2024N/A-212-168-167N/A
12/31/2023N/A-192-156-154N/A
9/30/2023N/A-178-143-139N/A
6/30/2023N/A-157-143-135N/A
3/31/2023N/A-148-137-130N/A
12/31/2022N/A-140-126-119N/A
9/30/2022N/A-126-115-110N/A
6/30/2022N/A-110-93-90N/A
3/31/2022N/A-91-78-76N/A
12/31/2021N/A-72-60-59N/A
9/30/2021N/A-163-49-47N/A
6/30/20210-194-44-44N/A
3/31/20211-185-39-39N/A
12/31/20208-179-36-36N/A
9/30/202023-61-35-35N/A
6/30/202024-23N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202026-27N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201922-32N/A-42N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: COGT is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: COGT is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: COGT is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: COGT's revenue (54.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: COGT's revenue (54.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: COGT is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

Discover growth companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/05 05:38
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/02 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Cogent Biosciences, Inc. is covered by 21 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Colleen KusyBaird
David LebowitzCitigroup Inc
Kelsey GoodwinGuggenheim Securities, LLC