Stock Analysis

We Think Avid Bioservices (NASDAQ:CDMO) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

NasdaqCM:CDMO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Avid Bioservices, Inc. (NASDAQ:CDMO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Avid Bioservices

What Is Avid Bioservices's Debt?

As you can see below, Avid Bioservices had US$141.2m of debt, at October 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had US$31.4m in cash, and so its net debt is US$109.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:CDMO Debt to Equity History February 28th 2024

How Strong Is Avid Bioservices' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Avid Bioservices had liabilities of US$76.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$194.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$31.4m and US$24.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$215.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Avid Bioservices has a market capitalization of US$509.1m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Avid Bioservices's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Avid Bioservices reported revenue of US$141m, which is a gain of 5.0%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Avid Bioservices produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost US$9.7m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$56m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Avid Bioservices that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Avid Bioservices is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:CDMO

Avid Bioservices

Avid Bioservices, Inc., a contract development and manufacturing organization, provides process development and current good manufacturing practices (CGMP) clinical and commercial manufacturing services of biologics for the biotechnology and biopharmaceutical industries.

Slightly overvalued with concerning outlook.