Stock Analysis

biote Corp. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

NasdaqGM:BTMD
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biote Corp. (NASDAQ:BTMD) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 3.7% to hit US$49m. biote also reported a statutory profit of US$0.37, which was an impressive 469% above what the analysts had forecast. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

We've discovered 3 warning signs about biote. View them for free.
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NasdaqGM:BTMD Earnings and Revenue Growth May 10th 2025

Following the latest results, biote's six analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$204.7m in 2025. This would be an okay 2.7% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to reduce 5.0% to US$0.64 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$205.3m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.40 in 2025. There was no real change to the revenue estimates, but the analysts do seem more bullish on earnings, given the great increase in earnings per share expectations following these results.

View our latest analysis for biote

The consensus price target fell 6.3% to US$7.00, suggesting the increase in earnings forecasts was not enough to offset other the analysts concerns. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on biote, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$8.00 and the most bearish at US$6.00 per share. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that biote is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that biote's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 3.6% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 9.8% over the past three years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 8.3% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that biote is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around biote's earnings potential next year. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple biote analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for biote (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.