BioXcel Therapeutics (BTAI) Stock Overview
Together with its subsidiary, OnkosXcel Therapeutics LLC, operates as a biopharmaceutical company that utilizes artificial intelligence approaches to develop medicines in neuroscience and immuno-oncology in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
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BTAI Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 33 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$1.19 |
| 52 Week High | US$8.08 |
| 52 Week Low | US$1.01 |
| Beta | 0.31 |
| 1 Month Change | 16.67% |
| 3 Month Change | -22.73% |
| 1 Year Change | -13.14% |
| 3 Year Change | -99.72% |
| 5 Year Change | -99.76% |
| Change since IPO | -99.33% |
Recent News & Updates
BTAI: At Home Agitation Opportunity Will Drive Future Upside Despite Dilution
Analysts have reset BioXcel Therapeutics' blended price target closer to $6, reflecting recent equity dilution while still pointing to what they view as attractive upside from the company's differentiated at home agitation franchise and expanding BXCL501 neuropsychiatry opportunities. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on BioXcel Therapeutics centers on how to balance dilution driven pressure on the share price with what analysts see as meaningful potential around the BXCL501 franchise and the broader neuropsychiatry pipeline.BTAI: At Home Agitation Franchise Will Drive Future Repricing Despite Dilution
Narrative Update The analyst fair value estimate for BioXcel Therapeutics has been adjusted slightly to $14.00 from $14.25, as analysts weigh the recent equity dilution against ongoing views that BXCL501's at-home agitation use and broader neuropsychiatry potential support a higher upside than current trading levels suggest. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a split view on BioXcel Therapeutics, with some analysts focused on the long-term potential of BXCL501 and others more focused on balance sheet pressure from equity issuance.Recent updates
BTAI: At Home Agitation Opportunity Will Drive Future Upside Despite Dilution
Analysts have reset BioXcel Therapeutics' blended price target closer to $6, reflecting recent equity dilution while still pointing to what they view as attractive upside from the company's differentiated at home agitation franchise and expanding BXCL501 neuropsychiatry opportunities. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on BioXcel Therapeutics centers on how to balance dilution driven pressure on the share price with what analysts see as meaningful potential around the BXCL501 franchise and the broader neuropsychiatry pipeline.BTAI: At Home Agitation Franchise Will Drive Future Repricing Despite Dilution
Narrative Update The analyst fair value estimate for BioXcel Therapeutics has been adjusted slightly to $14.00 from $14.25, as analysts weigh the recent equity dilution against ongoing views that BXCL501's at-home agitation use and broader neuropsychiatry potential support a higher upside than current trading levels suggest. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a split view on BioXcel Therapeutics, with some analysts focused on the long-term potential of BXCL501 and others more focused on balance sheet pressure from equity issuance.BTAI: At Home Agitation Expansion Will Drive Repricing Despite Dilution Concerns
Analysts now set an updated $14.25 price target for BioXcel Therapeutics, refining their outlook as they weigh enthusiasm around the at-home agitation franchise and expanding BXCL501 options against recent and expected equity dilution. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a split view on BioXcel Therapeutics, with some analysts emphasizing upside tied to the at-home agitation portfolio and others focusing more on the impact of equity dilution on upside potential.BTAI: At Home Agitation sNDA Will Drive Repricing Despite Equity Dilution Concerns
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for BioXcel Therapeutics from $15.25 to $14.25, reflecting a lower price target after recent Street research highlighted equity dilution as a key concern. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts still see upside potential even after the price target adjustment to US$6, suggesting they believe current valuation already reflects a good portion of the equity dilution risk.BTAI: At Home Agitation sNDA And Planning Will Drive Repricing Potential
Analysts kept their $15.25 price target for BioXcel Therapeutics unchanged, citing relatively steady modeled fair value, a similar discount rate and revenue outlook, and only modest tweaks to profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Completed an updated market opportunity assessment for IGALMI for acute agitation in bipolar disorder or schizophrenia in the at home setting, using insights from the SERENITY At Home study to guide launch planning.BTAI: At Home Agitation Use Expansion Will Drive Repricing Potential
Analysts now see fair value for BioXcel Therapeutics at US$15.25, down from US$16.75. This reflects updated assumptions for growth, profitability and a higher future P/E multiple in their models.BTAI: At Home Agitation Approval Effort Will Drive Repricing Potential
Analysts have revised their price target for BioXcel Therapeutics to US$16.75, with the change largely tied to updated assumptions for the discount rate, profit margin outlook, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Submitted a supplemental New Drug Application (sNDA) to the U.S. FDA for IGALMI for at home treatment of agitation tied to bipolar disorders or schizophrenia, aiming to expand use beyond healthcare provider supervised settings where there are currently no FDA approved options (Key Developments).BTAI: At Home Agitation sNDA And Safety Data Will Drive Repricing
Analysts have modestly reset their price target for BioXcel Therapeutics to US$16.75. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rate, profit margin, and future P/E that keep their fair value view broadly unchanged.BTAI: At Home Agitation Approval Pathway Will Drive Bullish Repricing
Narrative Update on BioXcel Therapeutics Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on BioXcel Therapeutics, citing a reaffirmed fair value estimate near $16.75 per share, supported by stable long term growth and profitability assumptions, despite a slightly higher discount rate and modestly richer projected valuation multiples. What's in the News Shareholders are scheduled to vote at the December 12, 2025 AGM on an amendment to the certificate of incorporation that would enable a reverse stock split, which may reflect efforts to maintain listing compliance and improve share price optics (company filing).BTAI: Phase 3 At Home Agitation Data Will Drive Bullish Repricing
Analysts have raised their price target on BioXcel Therapeutics to $4 from $2, citing stronger long term risk adjusted sales potential for BXCL501 supported by positive Phase 3 SERENITY At Home data, while still flagging financing uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models following the SERENITY At Home readout are highlighting both improved long term revenue potential and persistent execution risks that temper the valuation upside.BTAI: Strong Phase 3 Study Results Will Drive Further Market Momentum
Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for BioXcel Therapeutics from $23.75 to $16.75 per share, citing improved long-term revenue projections and profit margins. This outlook is balanced by ongoing uncertainties related to the company’s financing strategy.BTAI: Upcoming Regulatory Milestones Will Drive Momentum Following Key Phase 3 Success
Analysts have increased their fair value price target for BioXcel Therapeutics from $19 to $23.75, citing improved revenue growth expectations, a higher profit margin forecast, and optimism following positive BXCL501 study results as well as expanded indications. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect a mix of optimism and ongoing caution surrounding BioXcel Therapeutics following positive developments for BXCL501 and improving financial projections.
BXCL501 And SERENITY Trials Will Unlock New Treatment Horizons
Advancing Phase III trials and successful SERENITY outcomes could expand market access and boost revenue through FDA approvals and new partnerships.Shareholders May Be More Conservative With BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BTAI) CEO Compensation For Now
Key Insights BioXcel Therapeutics will host its Annual General Meeting on 10th of June CEO Vimal Mehta's total...Shareholder Returns
| BTAI | US Biotechs | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -8.5% | -0.5% | 0.5% |
| 1Y | -13.1% | 44.4% | 25.4% |
Return vs Industry: BTAI underperformed the US Biotechs industry which returned 41.7% over the past year.
Return vs Market: BTAI underperformed the US Market which returned 25.5% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| BTAI volatility | |
|---|---|
| BTAI Average Weekly Movement | 12.1% |
| Biotechs Industry Average Movement | 10.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.0% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: BTAI's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: BTAI's weekly volatility has decreased from 20% to 12% over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 29 | Vimal Mehta | www.bioxceltherapeutics.com |
BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc., together with its subsidiary, OnkosXcel Therapeutics LLC, operates as a biopharmaceutical company that utilizes artificial intelligence approaches to develop medicines in neuroscience and immuno-oncology in the United States. The company IGALMI, a sublingual film for the acute treatment of agitation associated with schizophrenia or bipolar I or II disorder in adults. It also develops its neuroscience candidate, BXCL501, which is an investigational, proprietary, orally dissolving sublingual film formulation of dexmedetomidine in Phase 3 trial for the treatment of agitation associated with bipolar disorders, schizophrenia, and Alzheimer’s disease, as well as opioid use disorder, alcohol use disorder with comorbid post-traumatic stress disorder, and acute stress disorder; and its immune-oncology candidate, BXCL701, which is an investigational oral innate immune activator that has completed Phase 1b/2a trial for the treatment of aggressive forms of prostate cancer, pancreatic cancer, and other solid and liquid tumors.
BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| BTAI fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$32.22m |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$69.90m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$642.00k |
Is BTAI overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| BTAI income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$642.00k |
| Cost of Revenue | US$164.00k |
| Gross Profit | US$478.00k |
| Other Expenses | US$70.38m |
| Earnings | -US$69.90m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -2.58 |
| Gross Margin | 74.45% |
| Net Profit Margin | -10,887.38% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | -114.8% |
How did BTAI perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/13 10:51 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/13 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Anita Dushyanth | Berenberg |
| Guyn Kim | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Alec Stranahan | BofA Global Research |