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Is Burning Rock Biotech (NASDAQ:BNR) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?
Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.
So, the natural question for Burning Rock Biotech (NASDAQ:BNR) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
View our latest analysis for Burning Rock Biotech
SWOT Analysis for Burning Rock Biotech
- Currently debt free.
- No major weaknesses identified for BNR.
- Forecast to reduce losses next year.
- Good value based on P/S ratio compared to estimated Fair P/S ratio.
- Has less than 3 years of cash runway based on current free cash flow.
- Not expected to become profitable over the next 3 years.
Does Burning Rock Biotech Have A Long Cash Runway?
You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. As at December 2022, Burning Rock Biotech had cash of CN¥908m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥527m. That means it had a cash runway of around 21 months as of December 2022. Importantly, analysts think that Burning Rock Biotech will reach cashflow breakeven in 4 years. Essentially, that means the company will either reduce its cash burn, or else require more cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.
How Well Is Burning Rock Biotech Growing?
We reckon the fact that Burning Rock Biotech managed to shrink its cash burn by 24% over the last year is rather encouraging. Revenue also improved during the period, increasing by 11%. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.
How Hard Would It Be For Burning Rock Biotech To Raise More Cash For Growth?
Burning Rock Biotech seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
Burning Rock Biotech has a market capitalisation of CN¥2.2b and burnt through CN¥527m last year, which is 23% of the company's market value. That's fairly notable cash burn, so if the company had to sell shares to cover the cost of another year's operations, shareholders would suffer some costly dilution.
Is Burning Rock Biotech's Cash Burn A Worry?
On this analysis of Burning Rock Biotech's cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its cash burn relative to its market cap has us a bit worried. Shareholders can take heart from the fact that analysts are forecasting it will reach breakeven. We don't think its cash burn is particularly problematic, but after considering the range of factors in this article, we do think shareholders should be monitoring how it changes over time. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 1 warning sign for Burning Rock Biotech that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:BNR
Burning Rock Biotech
Primarily develops and sells cancer therapy selection tests in the People's Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet low.