Stock Analysis

Revenue Downgrade: Here's What Analysts Forecast For Akoya Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:AKYA)

NasdaqGS:AKYA
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Market forces rained on the parade of Akoya Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:AKYA) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded their forecasts for next year. Revenue estimates were cut sharply as analysts signalled a weaker outlook - perhaps a sign that investors should temper their expectations as well.

Following the downgrade, the current consensus from Akoya Biosciences' seven analysts is for revenues of US$91m in 2025 which - if met - would reflect a credible 5.3% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 48% to US$0.60 per share. Yet prior to the latest estimates, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$116m and losses of US$0.55 per share in 2025. So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analysts making a serious cut to their revenue forecasts while also expecting losses per share to increase.

Check out our latest analysis for Akoya Biosciences

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:AKYA Earnings and Revenue Growth November 19th 2024

The consensus price target fell 24% to US$3.63, with the analysts clearly concerned about the company following the weaker revenue and earnings outlook.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Akoya Biosciences' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 4.2% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 20% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.4% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Akoya Biosciences.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to note from this downgrade is that the consensus increased its forecast losses next year, suggesting all may not be well at Akoya Biosciences. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Akoya Biosciences' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. The consensus price target fell measurably, with analysts seemingly not reassured by recent business developments, leading to a lower estimate of Akoya Biosciences' future valuation. Given the stark change in sentiment, we'd understand if investors became more cautious on Akoya Biosciences after today.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Akoya Biosciences going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.