Agios Pharmaceuticals Valuation
Is AGIO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of AGIO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: AGIO ($54.62) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($251.89)
Significantly Below Fair Value: AGIO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGIO?
Key metric: As AGIO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is AGIO's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 4.6x |
| Earnings | US$674.31m |
| Market Cap | US$3.10b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 45.7x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | -3.7x |
| PEG Ratio | -0.08x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does AGIO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 48.5x | ||
PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics | 14.2x | -31.4% | US$2.3b |
CPRX Catalyst Pharmaceuticals | 17.7x | 17.5% | US$2.6b |
ADMA ADMA Biologics | 74.1x | 30.5% | US$4.9b |
MNKD MannKind | 88x | 39.7% | US$1.9b |
AGIO Agios Pharmaceuticals | 4.6x | -56.7% | US$3.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AGIO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (48.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does AGIO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?
| 11 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 16.8x | 28.3% | |
AGIO Agios Pharmaceuticals | 4.6x | -56.7% | US$3.10b |
ROIV Roivant Sciences | 1.8x | -46.3% | US$8.23b |
INBX Inhibrx Biosciences | 0.1x | n/a | US$206.86m |
| 11 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 16.8x | 28.3% | |
AGIO Agios Pharmaceuticals | 4.6x | -56.7% | US$3.10b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AGIO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (17.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is AGIO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 4.6x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 7.6x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AGIO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | US$54.62 | US$53.88 -1.4% | 6.6% | US$57.00 | US$46.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Nov ’25 | US$44.87 | US$53.88 +20.1% | 6.6% | US$57.00 | US$46.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Oct ’25 | US$42.47 | US$54.50 +28.3% | 7.1% | US$57.00 | US$46.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Sep ’25 | US$45.91 | US$54.33 +18.3% | 8.1% | US$60.00 | US$46.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Aug ’25 | US$44.50 | US$53.83 +21.0% | 8.9% | US$60.00 | US$46.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jul ’25 | US$43.38 | US$52.83 +21.8% | 8.9% | US$61.00 | US$46.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jun ’25 | US$36.34 | US$46.00 +26.6% | 18.2% | US$59.00 | US$33.00 | n/a | 5 |
| May ’25 | US$33.66 | US$40.67 +20.8% | 20.3% | US$49.00 | US$29.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Apr ’25 | US$28.86 | US$40.67 +40.9% | 20.3% | US$49.00 | US$29.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Mar ’25 | US$32.27 | US$40.67 +26.0% | 20.3% | US$49.00 | US$29.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Feb ’25 | US$22.96 | US$40.17 +74.9% | 20.2% | US$49.00 | US$28.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jan ’25 | US$22.27 | US$38.33 +72.1% | 19.0% | US$49.00 | US$28.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Dec ’24 | US$22.90 | US$38.00 +65.9% | 19.2% | US$49.00 | US$28.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Nov ’24 | US$21.30 | US$38.50 +80.8% | 13.8% | US$46.00 | US$32.00 | US$44.87 | 6 |
| Oct ’24 | US$24.75 | US$38.83 +56.9% | 13.3% | US$46.00 | US$32.00 | US$42.47 | 6 |
| Sep ’24 | US$28.17 | US$38.83 +37.9% | 13.3% | US$46.00 | US$32.00 | US$45.91 | 6 |
| Aug ’24 | US$26.79 | US$38.67 +44.3% | 12.8% | US$46.00 | US$32.00 | US$44.50 | 6 |
| Jul ’24 | US$28.32 | US$38.67 +36.5% | 12.8% | US$46.00 | US$32.00 | US$43.38 | 6 |
| Jun ’24 | US$25.71 | US$36.67 +42.6% | 10.2% | US$41.00 | US$32.00 | US$36.34 | 6 |
| May ’24 | US$23.19 | US$36.83 +58.8% | 9.8% | US$41.00 | US$32.00 | US$33.66 | 6 |
| Apr ’24 | US$22.97 | US$36.83 +60.4% | 9.8% | US$41.00 | US$32.00 | US$28.86 | 6 |
| Mar ’24 | US$25.01 | US$36.83 +47.3% | 9.8% | US$41.00 | US$32.00 | US$32.27 | 6 |
| Feb ’24 | US$29.56 | US$36.20 +22.5% | 8.8% | US$40.00 | US$32.00 | US$22.96 | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | US$28.08 | US$36.20 +28.9% | 10.7% | US$43.00 | US$32.00 | US$22.27 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | US$29.39 | US$36.20 +23.2% | 10.7% | US$43.00 | US$32.00 | US$22.90 | 5 |
| Nov ’23 | US$28.37 | US$37.20 +31.1% | 28.9% | US$48.00 | US$17.00 | US$21.30 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.
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