Stock Analysis

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACRS)

NasdaqGS:ACRS
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Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ACRS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 21x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 2.9x and even P/S below 0.8x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Aclaris Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ACRS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 6th 2023

What Does Aclaris Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Aclaris Therapeutics has been doing relatively well. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Aclaris Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Aclaris Therapeutics' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Aclaris Therapeutics' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. The amazing performance means it was also able to deliver huge revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 22% per annum as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 42% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Aclaris Therapeutics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Aclaris Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Aclaris Therapeutics' analyst forecasts revealed that its shrinking revenue outlook isn't drawing down its high P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. In cases like this where we see revenue decline on the horizon, we suspect the share price is at risk of following suit, bringing back the high P/S into the realms of suitability. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Aclaris Therapeutics (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Aclaris Therapeutics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.